Rich Eisen · Mar 3, 2025

Eisen predicts three quarterbacks go in the first round, with Jaxson Dart taken at the end of the first round, and rejects the notion of three running backs or four quarterbacks in round one. He says Shedeur Sanders will not fall out of the top 10, and that the Browns will draft a quarterback second overall.

“I think three quarterbacks go in the first round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Jaxson DartMar 3, 2025
Jaxson Dart to be picked “taken the end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
“So I think Jackson Dart is gonna get taken the end of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
taken the end of the first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Shedeur SandersMar 3, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “not falling out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
“So I don't think he's falling out of the top 10 at all. No way, man.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.3a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
0.3
baseline:
50
actual pick:
144
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.3
predicted pick:
not falling out of the top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Team Draft Slot Calls Cleveland BrownsMar 3, 2025
Cleveland Browns to pick at number 2
“virtually every human I I ran into in the Indianapolis thinks the Browns are taking a quarterback second overall, and that's the end of that”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 11.97+151.69 skill
How this was scored
team:
CLE
draft:
2025
naive:
they picked 54 the year before
skill:
151.69
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
11.97
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles RamsMar 3, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025. I totally agree. I absolutely totally agree.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Philadelphia EaglesMar 3, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“How do we go from that to, oh, they got Deebo, and, no longer are they the the leaders in the clubhouse in their own conference. Jeez, man. That's an overreaction.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?