Pat Gustavson · Jan 13, 2026
Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
“But I'll probably say Seattle, New England.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) · read the original →
19 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsJan 13, 2026
New England Patriots 16 — Texans 13
“I think this is gonna be a very low scoring game. Yeah. You know, I'm we're talking, like, sixteen, thirteen type vibes here.”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 76.26+2.31 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- 2.31
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 78.57
- baseline:
- 76.26
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 13, 2026
New England Patriots to win
“I do think it'll be a close game. I do like the Patriots here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 13, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win
“I like the Bills here.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsJan 13, 2026
Chicago Bears to win
“You're going Bears down. Bear down. I love I love this team, man. Bear fucking down.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsArizona CardinalsJan 13, 2026
Robert Sala to move to Arizona Cardinals
“I'm gonna go with Robert Sala. Okay. I think Sala is a good fit here”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Positional FinishesBrock BowersLas Vegas RaidersJan 13, 2026
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“They have Brock Bowers, the best tight end most talented tight end in the league.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsJan 13, 2026
Drake London to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards
“Drake London is a top 10 wide receiver in football.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“Give it a sixty forty right now saying he's coming back. That's what I'll say right now.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsSeattle SeahawksJan 13, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
“But I'll probably say Seattle, New England.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksJan 13, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to win
“I I like Seattle too... But probably take Seattle here.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Positional FinishesJosh AllenBuffalo BillsJan 13, 2026
Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
“There he's the best player in the NFL at me.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Trade and Signing CallsAtlanta FalconsJan 13, 2026
Kevin Stefanski to move to Atlanta Falcons
“This is where I think Kevin Stefanski winds up... So I'll go Stefanski here.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsBaltimore RavensJan 13, 2026
Anthony Weaver to move to Baltimore Ravens
“And therefore, I'm not picking Brian Flores. I'm picking Anthony Weaver, the Dolphins defensive coordinator.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsCleveland BrownsJan 13, 2026
Jim Schwartz to move to Cleveland Browns
“I think they need to promote Jim Schwartz just to keep him there.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsLas Vegas RaidersJan 13, 2026
Clint Kubiak to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“And that guy this year is Clint Kubiak. And I think the Raiders need to be locked and focused on him.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMiami DolphinsJan 13, 2026
Chris Shula to move to Miami Dolphins
“I believe Brandon and I agree on this in Chris Shula, the Rams defensive coordinator.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsTennessee TitansJan 13, 2026
Mike McDaniel to move to Tennessee Titans
“I'm going Mike McDaniel here because Cam Ward, I believe.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsNew England PatriotsJan 13, 2026
New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl
“But I'll probably say Seattle, New England.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Positional FinishesBijan RobinsonAtlanta FalconsJan 13, 2026
Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“Bijan Robinson is the best running back in football.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.