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Jonas Knox· Sep 11, 2026

Knox picked the Steelers at home over the Falcons, his Bears over the Panthers, the Bengals over the Buccaneers, the Texans money line over the Bills, and the Cowboys over the Giants.

“I think Pittsburgh rolls, and I think Pittsburgh rolls at home.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 11, 2026

    Dallas Cowboys to win

    “I like the Cowboys minus three to open up the year.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 11, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to win

    “i think it continues i like the cincinnati bangles minus three and a half at home against the Bucks”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansSep 11, 2026

    Houston Texans to win

    “I, too, will take the Houston Texans money line.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    36-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsSep 11, 2026

    Chicago Bears to win

    “I'll take the Bears minus three.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    59-37
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersSep 11, 2026

    Pittsburgh Steelers to win

    “I think Pittsburgh rolls, and I think Pittsburgh rolls at home. I'll take the Steelers minus five-and-a-half.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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