Jonas Knox

45.35%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-7.47

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 8 articles. 68 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Game Outcome Picks14 graded31.67 accuracy
Power Rankings7 graded83.75 accuracy
Playoff Picks7 graded66.67 accuracy

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 41 ┄latest form: 19

Graded calls · 31

Filling in on the Dan Patrick Show, Knox made his weekly picks: Chargers over Texans, Jaguars over Colts, Seahawks over Panthers, Bills over Eagles, and the Bears to win outright at San Francisco. He also called Ted McMillan the likely Offensive Rookie of the Year.3 graded calls · Dec 26, 2025
- “I'm gonna take Buffalo in this spot. They are surging... I think they get it done at home against the Eagles.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  PHI
  score:
  13-12
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  1.11
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  2
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “We're gonna go Bears, money line... I think this is an opportunity for Chicago to going there in surprise the people.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  SF
  score:
  38-42
  skill:
  -111
  they picked:
  CHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  SF
  difficulty:
  1.11
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  2
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “it feels like a letdown spot for Carolina... So yeah, I'm with you. I'm gonna go Seattle on the road here.”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  SEA
  score:
  27-10
  skill:
  111
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  CAR
  difficulty:
  1.11
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  2
  Think this grade is wrong?
In the week 10 picks-against-the-spread segment, Knox took Tampa Bay to cover against New England, the Texans on the moneyline over Jacksonville, the Rams to cover at San Francisco, Pittsburgh on the moneyline over the Chargers, and Green Bay to cover against Philadelphia.2 graded calls · Nov 7, 2025
- “Let's go Pittsburgh on the money line.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-150 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAC
  score:
  10-25
  skill:
  -150
  they picked:
  PIT
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  LAC
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I think Todd Bowles is gonna have those guys ready, and I think Tampa Bay minus the two and a half is the right side here.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  28-23
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  TB
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
Knox made against-the-spread picks for five NFL games, taking the Lions, Steelers, Falcons, Texans and Bills, and reiterated the Ravens as his Super Bowl pick.5 graded calls · Oct 31, 2025
- “give me the bills on the money line”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BUF
  score:
  21-28
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “They were my Super Bowl pick. I hope they go on a heater.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'll take Houston. I think they're going to go two in a row here... I'll take the Texans at home.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  DEN
  score:
  18-15
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  HOU
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  HOU
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'm gonna take Atlanta plus five and a half. I see this as a potential bounce back spot.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  23-24
  skill:
  -156
  they picked:
  ATL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  NE
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'll take Pittsburgh plus three... I think they're probably still going to lose this game, just not by more than two and a half.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  PIT
  score:
  20-27
  skill:
  -156
  they picked:
  IND
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  PIT
  difficulty:
  1.56
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
In the show's Week 7 picks-against-the-spread segment, Knox took the Jaguars over the Rams, the Eagles at Minnesota, the Chargers over the Colts, Tampa Bay getting points at Detroit, and Houston getting points at Seattle.4 graded calls · Oct 17, 2025
- “I'm showing the Rams as a three point favorite. Right now, I'm gonna take I'll take the Jaguars.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAR
  score:
  35-7
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  JAX
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  JAX
  difficulty:
  1.67
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  12
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “We have the Colts at the chargers down here in La... I'll take the chargers, but I don't feel great about it.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  IND
  score:
  38-24
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LAC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  LAC
  difficulty:
  1.67
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  12
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “we have the Texans at my number one Seattle Seahawks... I'll take the Texans getting the points”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  SEA
  score:
  19-27
  skill:
  -167
  they picked:
  HOU
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  SEA
  difficulty:
  1.67
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  12
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I like Tampa Bay. I know they've got injuries, but I think now I'm getting six points, that's too much... I'll take Tampa Bay getting six points”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  DET
  score:
  9-24
  skill:
  -167
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  naive pick:
  DET
  difficulty:
  1.67
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  12
  Think this grade is wrong?
Knox picked division orders in the AFC: Bills over Patriots, Dolphins, Jets in the East; Bengals over Ravens, Steelers, Browns in the North; Texans over Jaguars, Colts, Titans in the South; and Chargers over Chiefs, Broncos, Raiders in the West.4 graded calls · Sep 4, 2025
- “I've got the Houston Texans finishing one, follow by the Jaguars, the Colts, and the Titans.”
  Scored 90a naive guess scored 70+40 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  40
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  90
  baseline:
  70
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.”
  Scored 70a naive guess scored 60+20 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  20
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  70
  baseline:
  60
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I've got the Patriots finishing second in that division, followed by the Dolphins and the Jets bringing up the rear.”
  Scored 90a naive guess scored 40+100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  100
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  90
  baseline:
  40
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I've got the Baltimore Ravens finishing second, and then I've got Pittsburgh finishing third, followed by the Cleveland Browns”
  Scored 60a naive guess scored 90-60 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -60
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  90
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Jonas Knox picked Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta and San Francisco to win the NFC divisions, with the Giants last in the East and Seattle last in the West, and said Jackson Dart will get the starting opportunity in New York.4 graded calls · Sep 4, 2025
- “I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East, I've got Washington second, the Dallas Cowboys third, and the New York Giants fourth.”
  Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  90
  baseline:
  90
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'm going to go with Atlanta winning the NFC South, followed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers, and the New Orleans Saints”
  Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  90
  baseline:
  90
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I think at some point, probably pretty early on, Jackson Dart's going to get his opportunity there”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NYG
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Jaxson Dart
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  naive basis:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division, followed by the Chicago Bears, the Detroit Lions, and the Minnesota Vikings.”
  Scored 90a naive guess scored 10+160 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  160
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  90
  baseline:
  10
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Knox picked division winners in both conferences and had the Baltimore Ravens beating the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowl 60.8 graded calls · Sep 4, 2025
- “My wild card teams out of the AFC are the Ravens, Steelers, and Chiefs”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BAL
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive said:
  true
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  false
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “the wild card spots are the Commanders, the Buccaneers, and the Chicago Bears”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  TB
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive said:
  true
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  false
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Green Bay Packers who go to Santa Clara to take on the Baltimore Ravens, and the winner is Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BAL
  score:
  41-24
  skill:
  200
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  naive pick:
  GB
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “the winner is Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens who win the Super Bowl Super Bowl sixty”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “the wild card spots are the Commanders, the Buccaneers, and the Chicago Bears”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CHI
  skill:
  200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  naive said:
  false
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  true
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “My wild card teams out of the AFC are the Ravens, Steelers, and Chiefs”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  KC
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive said:
  true
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  false
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “the wild card spots are the Commanders, the Buccaneers, and the Chicago Bears”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  WAS
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  naive said:
  true
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  false
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “My wild card teams out of the AFC are the Ravens, Steelers, and Chiefs”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PIT
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  naive said:
  true
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  true
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Knox says the Steelers won't win the AFC North but could still make the playoffs, and predicts the George Pickens fit in Dallas could be a disaster.May 7, 2025
- “I mean, they're not going to win. The division, but they could be a playoff team.”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PIT
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  naive said:
  true
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made playoffs:
  true
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?