Gregg Rosenthal· Jul 21, 2025

Rosenthal expects Russell Wilson to end up as the Giants' starter, views Stefon Diggs as no better than a No. 2/No. 3 receiver in New England, thinks rookie Tyler Loop wins the Ravens' kicking job, pegs Marquise Valdes-Scantling as only the fourth or fifth Seahawks receiver, likes RJ Harvey as a value relative to his fantasy draft slot, and expects Jawaan Taylor and Cedric Tillman to make their teams.

“I guess he's probably gonna be the starter.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls and 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 94.4 out of 100, against 94.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Roster Spot Calls Cedric Tillman Cleveland BrownsJul 21, 2025
Cedric Tillman to make the roster
“well, he's got to make the team. I think he will.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
0
player:
Cedric Tillman
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
13
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Tyler Loop Baltimore RavensJul 21, 2025
Tyler Loop to be 1st on the depth chart
“Tyler Loop, their draft pick will be the heavy favorite over John Hoylan. But you never know.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
BAL
skill:
16.67
player:
Tyler Loop
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
K
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
special-teams snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Roster Spot Calls Jawaan Taylor Kansas City ChiefsJul 21, 2025
Jawaan Taylor to make the roster
“And Juwan Taylor, who's been overpaid the last few years, and if he makes the team this year, and I assume he will”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
KC
skill:
0
player:
Jawaan Taylor
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
14
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Stefon Diggs New England PatriotsJul 21, 2025
Stefon Diggs to be 3rd on the depth chart
“I considered Digs more of like a two slash three at this stage of his career.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 83.33+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
0
player:
Stefon Diggs
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
83.33
position:
WR
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Marquez Valdes-Scantling Seattle SeahawksJul 21, 2025
Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be 5th on the depth chart
“He probably isn't gonna win that group. I think he'll be fourth or fifth.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
-16.67
player:
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
4
actual slot:
4
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
5
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Russell Wilson New York GiantsJul 21, 2025
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“I guess it's Russ's job to lose... I guess he's probably gonna be the starter.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
0
player:
Russell Wilson
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment.
Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries.
Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100
Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100
Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.

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