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Jerry Jones· Sep 20, 2026

Predicts Carolina pulls away from Atlanta, with the Falcons defense keeping it close early, in a 27-16 Panthers win.

Panthers 27, Falcons 16.

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 52.4 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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  • Carolina Panthers 27 — Falcons 16

    I think the Falcons defense keeps things close for a while, but the Panthers pull away. Panthers 27, Falcons 16.

    Close · 52Scored 52.38a naive guess scored 0+101.62 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    101.62
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    52.38
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    -0.52
    predicted margin:
    11

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