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Carter Bahns· Sep 19, 2026

He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace.

the Jaguars can put up a number that the Broncos cannot match.

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 82.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Broncos 17

    Pick: Jaguars 24, Broncos 17

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 82.1-62.28 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    -62.28
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    82.1
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    -0.52
    predicted margin:
    7

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