Kyle Crabbs· Mar 28, 2025
Crabbs ranks the top 15 quarterbacks eligible for the 2025 NFL Draft, with Cameron Ward first (and headed to Tennessee), Shedeur Sanders second and Jaxson Dart third, and assigns each a round valuation.
“Dart will go higher than his valuation here — that’s the quarterback tax in the draft.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 86.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Top Player ListsMar 28, 2025
“Here are our top 15 quarterbacks eligible for the 2025 NFL Draft next month. 2025 NFL Draft Final QB Rankings”
Hit · 86Scored 86.06a naive guess scored 50+72.12 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 72.12
- placed:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 15
- accuracy:
- 86.06
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 10: 86.06
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
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