Rich Eisen · Dec 29, 2025

Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff.

“I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

10 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Season Win Totals New Orleans SaintsDec 29, 2025
New Orleans Saints to finish with 9 wins
“having him over five hundred next season is a tall order ... So I'll I'll say this is not an overreaction right now ... I look at this Saints team as having a a nice 2026.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 85-49.95 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
naive:
6.75
skill:
-49.95
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
85
predicted:
9
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Tyler Shough New Orleans SaintsDec 29, 2025
Tyler Shough to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Is is 100% in play. ... So I'll I'll say this is not an overreaction right now. Certainly, when you could see, how Shuck has performed”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
winner:
Tetairoa McMillan
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Jared Goff Detroit LionsDec 29, 2025
Jared Goff to be 1st on the depth chart
“They're gonna go into 2026 with golf 100%.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
DET
skill:
0
player:
Jared Goff
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.11
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Malik WillisDec 29, 2025
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“He's gonna be starting somewhere next year. I think that's, without a doubt.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-9.25 skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
-9.25
player:
Malik Willis
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.11
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Minnesota VikingsDec 29, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
“The Vikings might finish above 500.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+49.95 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
49.95
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
55
predicted:
9
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Buffalo BillsDec 29, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win
“because I think the Bills, even without Josh Allen, are gonna beat the Jets in their final home game”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Jacksonville JaguarsDec 29, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
“I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division and doesn't matter what Houston does against Indianapolis week 18”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Seeding, Byes and Home Field Los Angeles ChargersDec 29, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to take the top seed
“I I think they're gonna wind up maybe being the seventh seed in the AFC”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Baltimore RavensDec 29, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win
“Who are you picking? In this one? ... I'm my early thoughts would be the Ravens.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Jacksonville JaguarsDec 29, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
“because I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?