Gregg Rosenthal· Jan 3, 2025
Rosenthal's Week 18 picks: Tampa Bay routs the resting Saints, Seattle beats a Rams team sitting its starters, and Washington handles a Cowboys team playing for nothing. He also leans Pittsburgh over Cincinnati (off-show) and says he liked the Titans to win.
“I love it. I think they can cover this thing by the end of the first half.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersJan 3, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Bengals
“I'm on the opposite side, although I'm getting less confident about Pittsburgh not for this show. That's my least confident pick of the week... I just don't have face in that Bengals.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 19-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersJan 3, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Saints
“we are both on the Bucks minus thirteen and a half... I just think the strengths and the weaknesses are so dramatically opposed here”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 19-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksTennessee TitansJan 3, 2025
Tennessee Titans to beat Texans
“I would have thrown in the Titans winning as a Greg Strow, but everyone is on my side, and that's actually now they're the favorite over the Texans.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 23-14
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TEN
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersJan 3, 2025
Washington Commanders to beat Cowboys
“I do think ultimately that Washington game does get out of control, because that's going to be my third pick... I'm going to Washington minus four and a half.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+106 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 23-19
- skill:
- 106
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksJan 3, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
“So do I think their backups are suddenly gonna play? Well, No, I'm going Seahawks minus six and a half.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+106 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 30-25
- skill:
- 106
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
What others said about the same people
- Bradley LockerTrade and Signing Calls · Will LevisHit · 100Locker lists 10 players on the roster bubble entering 2026, suggesting Tyrone Tracy may not make the Giants' 53, Broderick Jones could be traded or cut by Pittsburgh, Dillon Gabriel may lose the Browns' QB3 job, Evan Neal's Giants tenure may end, and Will Levis will likely be traded or cut by Tennessee.
- Dharya SharmaTrade and Signing Calls · Will LevisHit · 100Previewing the Titans' preseason opener, Sharma identifies five receivers as roster locks, expects Bryce Oliver to make the 53 on special teams value, and predicts Will Levis will not be on Tennessee's roster by September, likely being moved for a late-round pick.
- Jonathan JonesTrade and Signing Calls · Will LevisHit · 100Jones expects Anthony Richardson to be traded, likely for roughly a fifth-round pick, and to serve as a backup rather than a starter in 2026. He also lays out a series of quarterback-market predictions: Aaron Rodgers back with the Steelers, Tua off the Dolphins roster, Daniel Jones ultimately staying as the Colts' starter, Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders competing for Cleveland's QB1 job, Will Levis most likely of the veteran backups to be traded, and Kirk Cousins possibly landing in Arizona.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Nick ShookGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Shook said he would take the Steelers and Jaguars to win outright on the road, still expects the Chargers to beat the Raiders, and thinks Baltimore's run game will turn the Saints game into a double-digit Ravens win.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Brady QuinnGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100In the weekly Picks Against the Spread segment, Quinn took the Vikings to beat the Bears outright, the Bengals to win outright in Houston, the Broncos to beat the Jaguars while laying points, and the Rams to beat the Giants while laying seven.