Jason McIntyre · Jan 16, 2026
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre picks the Bills to beat the Broncos in Denver despite reservations, says Josh Allen is the best quarterback in the league but that the MVP will go to Matthew Stafford or Drake Maye, and touts Jaxon Smith-Njigba as a top-two receiver who could win Offensive Player of the Year.
“I'm actually with her, but I don't feel great about it.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
“Jsn's their number one, and he's like a top two receiver in the league.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 1
- actual finish:
- 99
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 2
- Positional FinishesJosh AllenBuffalo BillsJan 16, 2026
“I do believe he's the best quarterback in the league.”
Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 75-58.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -58.33
- player:
- Josh Allen
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 14
- actual finish:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 16, 2026
“Yes, all right, I'm actually with her, but I don't feel great about it. (following Rachel Nichols saying "I'm going Bills in this one")”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksMatthew StaffordJan 16, 2026
“Obviously, he's not going to win the MVP. That'll be Stafford or Drake May.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksDrake MayeJan 16, 2026
“Obviously, he's not going to win the MVP. That'll be Stafford or Drake May.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle SeahawksJan 16, 2026
“He might win off it'sive player of the year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0