Cowherd likes Denver against the Raiders/Gino Smith, says the Colts will win their division, backs the Ravens as favorites at Minnesota, leans Buccaneers over the Patriots, picks the Patriots over the Colts to reach the AFC Championship, and thinks Fernando Mendoza will be the first quarterback taken in the draft.

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensNov 6, 2025

  “this is one of my favorite plays of the weekend. Is the Ravens a minus four and a half... I go into a game with the superior quarterback, who now is finally healthy, I get probably the better roster.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  BAL

  score:

  27-19

  skill:

  150

  they picked:

  BAL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  MIN

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 6, 2025

  “But it sounds like maybe your leaning Bucks here. Yep, I think under a field goal”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  NE

  score:

  28-23

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  TB

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  TB

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsFernando MendozaNov 6, 2025

  “I think Mendoz that Indiana is gonna win it up to them... Mendoz is the play... I think Mendoza is a bigger, stronger athlete smart.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08

  skill:

  66.92

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  33.08

  position:

  quarterback

  class size:

  10

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  1

  predicted order:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 6, 2025

  “He's a pocket quarterback if he plays Take Denver.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Division WinnersIndianapolis ColtsNov 6, 2025

  “the Colts were missing a corner there that's gonna be a division winning team”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?