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Colin Cowherd· Nov 6, 2025

Cowherd likes Denver against the Raiders/Gino Smith, says the Colts will win their division, backs the Ravens as favorites at Minnesota, leans Buccaneers over the Patriots, picks the Patriots over the Colts to reach the AFC Championship, and thinks Fernando Mendoza will be the first quarterback taken in the draft.

“He's a pocket quarterback if he plays Take Denver.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 division winner and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 26.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Division WinnersIndianapolis ColtsNov 6, 2025

    Indianapolis Colts to win the division

    “the Colts were missing a corner there that's gonna be a division winning team”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    won the division:
    no

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  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 6, 2025

    Denver Broncos to beat Raiders

    “He's a pocket quarterback if he plays Take Denver.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    7-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9

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  • Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensNov 6, 2025

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Minnesota

    “this is one of my favorite plays of the weekend. Is the Ravens a minus four and a half... I go into a game with the superior quarterback, who now is finally healthy, I get probably the better roster.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    27-19
    skill:
    150
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9

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  • Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 6, 2025

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Patriots

    “But it sounds like maybe your leaning Bucks here. Yep, I think under a field goal”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    28-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9

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  • Position Order CallsFernando MendozaNov 6, 2025

    Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board

    “I think Mendoz that Indiana is gonna win it up to them... Mendoz is the play... I think Mendoza is a bigger, stronger athlete smart.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
    skill:
    66.92
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    33.08
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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