David Harrison · Mar 16, 2026
In his first post-free-agency mock draft, Harrison has the Commanders trade back with Cincinnati and select Carnell Tate at No. 10, Chris Johnson at No. 41, Jagger Burton at No. 147, Trey Moore at No. 187, VJ Payne at No. 209 and Vincent Anthony Jr. in the seventh round.
“Carnell Tate, wide receiver out of Ohio State, come becomes the first pick in our first mock draft Monday following free agency.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 41
“Second round, forty first overall pick is when we take Chris Johnson... Chris Johnson, cornerback out of San Diego State”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Chris Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 41
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 10
“which means that pick number 10, we take wide receiver Carnell Tate in the first round”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Jager Burton to be picked at number 147
“Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky is sitting there... he's sitting there at one forty seven for us to take, and we absolutely take Jagger Burton”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Jager Burton
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 153
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 147
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksTrey MooreWashington CommandersMar 16, 2026
Trey Moore to be picked at number 187
“sixth round, pick number one eighty seven linebacker Trey Moore out of Texas comes in”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Trey Moore
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 187
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Victor Payne to be picked at number 209
“pick two zero nine, we come back, Vijay Payne... VJ Payne, safety out of Kansas State”
Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Victor Payne
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 228
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 209
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Vincent Anthony to be picked “seventh round” (picks 193–236)
“We wrap it all up with a potential big edge of the future, you know, developmental seventh round guy, Vincent Anthony Junior, edge rusher out of Duke.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Vincent Anthony
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with KC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- seventh round (picks 193–236)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Chig Okonkwo to be 1st on the depth chart
“Tight end position, Chikokonkwo, I think, still comes in as kinda your top guy.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Depth Chart CallsTrey AmosWashington CommandersMar 16, 2026
Trey Amos to be 1st on the depth chart
“Trey Amos as your starting. Opposite boundary corner.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.