Colin Cowherd· Sep 12, 2025
The host of the Week 2 gambling segment (unnamed in the transcript) laid out five picks, predicting New England beats Miami, Jacksonville wins outright at Cincinnati 27-21, Arizona handles Carolina, Kansas City beats Philadelphia 27-24 at home, and Atlanta wins at Minnesota.
“I think Jacksonville wins this game twenty seven, twenty one.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 79 out of 100, against 48.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 12, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Miami
“I like New England getting the one point in Miami... I think this is an absolute, true must win for New England... and I will take New England plus a point.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 33-27
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksArizona CardinalsSep 12, 2025
Arizona Cardinals to beat Carolina
“I just I think Carolina is really, really bad... I will lay the six and a half with Arizona.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 22-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsSep 12, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Philly 24
“my game pick for Casey Philly is twenty seven to twenty four Kansas City... the Chiefs plus one in a game, I expect them to win, outright”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 47.69+4.49 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 4.49
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsSep 12, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to beat Minnesota
“It would not shock me at all if Atlanta wins this game... And so I like Atlanta in this spot indoors, short week”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 22-6
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsSep 12, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Cincinnati 21
“I think Jacksonville wins this game outright... I think Jacksonville wins this game twenty seven, twenty one. I will take the Jags getting three points.”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 95.3-97.13 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-31
- skill:
- -97.13
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 95.3
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 6
What others said about the same people
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Hit · 100Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Devin DuvernayHit · 100PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Ameer AbdullahHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Devin DuvernayHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
- Ethan HurwitzRoster Spot Calls · Christian GonzalezHit · 100Hurwitz says several Patriots starting jobs and roster spots are already settled — Drake Maye at QB with Jared Wilson at center, A.J. Brown and Hunter Henry as pass-catchers, and Christian Gonzalez, Milton Williams and Kevin Byard locked into roster spots. Among camp standouts, he pegs undrafted rookie Cameron Dorner as roughly the eighth receiver on a roster likely keeping seven, and says Channing Canada is a strong practice squad candidate if he doesn't make the 53.
- Donnie DruinRoster Spot Calls · Jalen BrooksHit · 100Druin suggests Jalen Brooks has broken out in Cardinals camp and could land a roster spot as Arizona's sixth wide receiver, though he won't displace any of the top wideouts.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Huber forecasts the Packers starting 3-4 through seven games — losing at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, beating the Jets and Falcons, losing to the Bears — and finishing the season with about eight wins.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.