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John Ledyard· Apr 14, 2026

Ledyard says San Diego State cornerback Chris Johnson will be a first-round pick after a strong combine and interview process, and expects cornerbacks Mansoor Delaine and Jermott McCoy to be gone before Detroit picks at No. 17.

“He's gonna go in the first round. I feel really confident about that.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Lions (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
in the first round (picks 1–32)They said
27What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Chris Johnson to be picked “in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    “people are talking about his San Diego State corner, Chris Johnson. I think that's a Chris Johnson not only blew up the combine, but he's also crushed the interview process of teams. He's gonna go in the first round. I feel really confident about that.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    in the first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mansoor Delane to be picked “off the board before pick No. 17”

    “Mansoor Delaine's off the board. Jermott McCoy's off the board, Let's say at seventeen. Likely right now.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jermott McCoy to be picked “off the board before pick No. 17”

    “Mansoor Delaine's off the board. Jermott McCoy's off the board, Let's say at seventeen. Likely right now.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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