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Chris Brockman· Apr 6, 2026

Brockman argues the NFL should bar rookie QBs from playing, predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall while Ty Simpson opens the season as a starter, expects Kirk Cousins to start and succeed in Las Vegas, thinks it would be stunning if the Eagles missed the playoffs, and says Kansas City takes an offensive weapon at No. 9.

“Ty Simpson, though, is, and he's gonna start more games this year than Fernando Mendoza.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Where this call stands in the room

Kirk Cousins · 2026 season

49 calls from 41 pundits between 1 and 1. Chris Brockman said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Chris Brockman — 1the room — 49 calls from 41 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “We know Fernando Mendoza's going number one, probably not gonna start in week one.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Ty Simpson, though, is [going to start in week one], and he's gonna start more games this year than Fernando Mendoza.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Let's talk about Kirko going to the Raiders, presumably to start week one, and I think he's gonna succeed.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    “And if they miss the playoffs, that would be stunning. Don't you think, though, at the end of the day? ... They're they're really good, though.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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