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Nick Wright· Nov 27, 2025

The host (unnamed in the transcript) laid out his Week 13 card, backing Kansas City, Tampa Bay and Seattle as favorites he expects to win, and leaning Detroit, the Rams and Denver in games he isn't betting.

“I will jump on Kansas City minus three at Dallas.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsNov 27, 2025

    Detroit Lions to beat green Bay

    “I do really like Detroit... I almost assuredly Thanksgiving morning will bet Detroit minus two and a half.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    31-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsNov 27, 2025

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina

    “The Rams laying ten and a half at Carolina. I lean Rams there, but this feels like a potential backdoor cover by the Panthers and a Rams just get out of there with a win”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-133 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CAR
    score:
    28-31
    skill:
    -133
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 27, 2025

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Arizona

    “Tampa minus three against Arizona... Bucky Irving finally returns, Tampa pounds the run Tampa minus three.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    17-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosNov 27, 2025

    Denver Broncos to beat Washington

    “Denver laying six and a half at Washington. I like Denver here that defense against Marcus Mariota, particularly Denver off a bye”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+133 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    27-26
    skill:
    133
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 27, 2025

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Dallas

    “I will jump on Kansas City minus three at Dallas... Will take Casey minus the three”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-133 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    28-31
    skill:
    -133
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksNov 27, 2025

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Minnesota

    “I'll take Seattle at home, laying the ten and a half”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    0-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.33
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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