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Matt Dery· Sep 10, 2026

Derry predicted a Lions win over the Saints by a 24-20 score, with the Saints covering the 7.5-point spread.

“I have the Saints losing this game, and and the the Lions winning.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 roster spot call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 46.4 out of 100, against 98.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Score PredictionsDetroit LionsSep 10, 2026

    Detroit Lions 24 — Saints 20

    “I said 20 to 24, so that they do end up covering.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 96.35-6.98 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    30-31
    skill:
    -6.98
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    96.35
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    -0.53
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Roster Spot CallsTom KennedyDetroit LionsSep 10, 2026

    Tom Kennedy to make the roster

    “the lines are gonna elevate Tom Kennedy from the practice squad to be their punt returner”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DET
    skill:
    -200
    player:
    0ae17fe2-457b-4b2c-abda-816020763d49
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he lands on the practice squad
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.