Jason McIntyre · Jan 16, 2026
Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick.
“Number one, Josh Allen, I don't think you can go anywhere else with this.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 16, 2026
“if I had, you know, money to put on a team to win the Super Bowl, I'd be the Rams because I love Stafford right now”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaJan 16, 2026
“Fernando mendoz a slam, dunk number one. Pick”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 16, 2026
“As a Jetson, I'm rooted for Josh Allen. Yeah, but I do think Denver PROBLEMANCELF”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksArch ManningJan 16, 2026
“i think Arch manning probably is the number one pick next. Year”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arch Manning
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Top Player ListsJan 16, 2026
“So here we are going eight to one ranking the quarterbacks in the divisional round... Number eight ... bo Nicks ... number seven ... Sam Donald ... Number six ... CJ. Stroud ... number five ... Caleb Williams ... number four ... Drake May ... Number three, it's my guy Rock Party ... Number two ... Matt Stafford ... number one, Josh Allen”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- placed:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 8
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 8: 75
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksMatthew StaffordLos Angeles RamsJan 16, 2026
“I went with Matt Stafford and he's probably going to be the MVP.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksJan 16, 2026
“this kid Peterson, he can go. I mean he is awesome. Top five pick for sure.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.