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Albert Breer· Apr 8, 2026

Breer said Ty Simpson won't be a first-round pick and will likely land in the second round, while Indiana receiver Omar Cooper is probably a first-rounder and teammate Elijah Surratt might go somewhere in the top 100. He also called Oregon's Dante Moore the closest thing to a lock among the 2027 first-round quarterback crop.

“My guess would be Ty Simpson for those reasons probably goes somewhere in the second round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 64.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
somewhere in the top 100 (picks 1–100)They said
115What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksElijah SarrattApr 8, 2026

    Elijah Sarratt to be picked “somewhere in the top 100” (picks 1–100)

    “Elijah Surratt, who's might be somewhere in the top 100”

    Close · 52Scored 52.21a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Elijah Sarratt
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    115
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    somewhere in the top 100 (picks 1–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonApr 8, 2026

    Ty Simpson to be picked “somewhere in the second round” (picks 33–64)

    “my guess would be Ty Simpson for those reasons probably goes somewhere in the second round because I don't think people look at him and say, yeah. That guy projects to be one of the top 10 quarterbacks in football.”

    Close · 42Scored 42.04a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    42.04
    predicted pick:
    somewhere in the second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksOmar CooperApr 8, 2026

    Omar Cooper to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “he's throwing to Omar Cooper, who's probably gonna be a first round pick”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksMatt MooreApr 8, 2026

    Matt Moore to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Dante Moore is obviously the most accomplished of these guys and probably is the closest thing to a lock... Who have a shot to go in the first round”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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