The unnamed host laid out his weekly picks, saying outright that Baltimore would beat Houston even with Lamar Jackson's status uncertain, and that Philadelphia would beat Denver by roughly six points at home.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksOct 4, 2025

  “But this feels like a Philly six point win... So I'll take Philly despite all the noise around to minus the three and a half”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  DEN

  score:

  21-17

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  PHI

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  PHI

  difficulty:

  1.78

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  14

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksOct 4, 2025

  “Yeah. I think Baltimore is gonna win. And I think there is added value here because ten days ago this game was Baltimore minus nine and a half.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  HOU

  score:

  44-10

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  BAL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  BAL

  difficulty:

  1.78

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  14

  Think this is wrong?