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Ryan Tracy· Apr 1, 2026

Tracy names five prospects he considers locks to be drafted inside the top eight (Mendoza, Reese, Styles, Bailey, Love), with Bailey likely going top four, and says Ruben Bane will go inside the top 10 even if he slides.

“I think Mendoza, Reese, Styles will all go, quote, unquote, locks.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 96.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top eight (picks 1–8)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesApr 1, 2026

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    “Who else do you think is Styles? You think he's guaranteed to go in the top eight? I think he is.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyApr 1, 2026

    David Bailey to be picked “top four” (picks 1–4)

    “I think it's very likely that Bailey goes top four. Yes.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top four (picks 1–4)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaApr 1, 2026

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    “Do you think Mendoza is going to go in the top eight? That's how I feel about it.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksRueben BainApr 1, 2026

    Rueben Bain to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “So it may be the Chiefs doing it at nine, but I do think he'll go in the top 10.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveApr 1, 2026

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    “I think Love has to. Somebody's gonna pull the trigger... you named five players you think go for sure in the top eight”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseApr 1, 2026

    Arvell Reese to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    “I think Mendoza, Reese, Styles will all go, quote, unquote, locks... you named five players you think go for sure in the top eight”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

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