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Ryan Tracy · Apr 1, 2026

Tracy names five prospects he considers locks to be drafted inside the top eight (Mendoza, Reese, Styles, Bailey, Love), with Bailey likely going top four, and says Ruben Bane will go inside the top 10 even if he slides.

I think Mendoza, Reese, Styles will all go, quote, unquote, locks.

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    Do you think Mendoza is going to go in the top eight? That's how I feel about it.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rueben Bain to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    So it may be the Chiefs doing it at nine, but I do think he'll go in the top 10.

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    I think Love has to. Somebody's gonna pull the trigger... you named five players you think go for sure in the top eight

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked “top four” (picks 1–4)

    I think it's very likely that Bailey goes top four. Yes.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    top four (picks 1–4)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arvell Reese to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    I think Mendoza, Reese, Styles will all go, quote, unquote, locks... you named five players you think go for sure in the top eight

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sonny Styles to be picked “top eight” (picks 1–8)

    Who else do you think is Styles? You think he's guaranteed to go in the top eight? I think he is.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    top eight (picks 1–8)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

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