Colin Cowherd · Nov 21, 2025
Cowherd gave a specific projected stat line for Shedeur Sanders' first career start against the Raiders.
“thirteen of, eighteen one hundred thirty nine, yards one, touchdown one, pick passer rating of eighty to five”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
3 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
“one, touchdown one, pick”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 2.61-3.63 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 13.64
- skill:
- -3.63
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 2.61
- predicted:
- 1
- statistic:
- passing_tds
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- position average:
- 13.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“thirteen of, eighteen one hundred thirty nine, yards one, touchdown one, pick passer rating of eighty to five”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 69.52-96.63 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 1651.74
- skill:
- -96.63
- what happened:
- 1400
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 69.52
- predicted:
- 139
- statistic:
- passing_yards
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- position average:
- 1651.74
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“he'll have an ugly, pick”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 23.93-33.27 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 6.2
- skill:
- -33.27
- what happened:
- 10
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 23.93
- predicted:
- 1
- statistic:
- passing_interceptions
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- position average:
- 6.2
- zero at percent out:
- 50