Colin Cowherd· Nov 21, 2025
Cowherd gave a specific projected stat line for Shedeur Sanders' first career start against the Raiders.
“thirteen of, eighteen one hundred thirty nine, yards one, touchdown one, pick passer rating of eighty to five”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
3 checkable claims — 3 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 32 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
passing tds1They said
7What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing tds
“one, touchdown one, pick”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 2.61-3.63 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 13.64
- skill:
- -3.63
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 2.61
- predicted:
- 1
- statistic:
- passing_tds
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- position average:
- 13.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Shedeur Sanders to record 139 passing yards
“thirteen of, eighteen one hundred thirty nine, yards one, touchdown one, pick passer rating of eighty to five”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 69.52-96.63 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 1651.74
- skill:
- -96.63
- what happened:
- 1400
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 69.52
- predicted:
- 139
- statistic:
- passing_yards
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- position average:
- 1651.74
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing interceptions
“he'll have an ugly, pick”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 23.93-33.27 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 6.2
- skill:
- -33.27
- what happened:
- 10
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 23.93
- predicted:
- 1
- statistic:
- passing_interceptions
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- position average:
- 6.2
- zero at percent out:
- 50
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More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Shannon SharpePlayer Season Numbers · T.J. WattMiss · 0On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season.
- Rich EisenPlayer Season Numbers · Micah ParsonsClose · 56Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.
- Daniel JeremiahPlayer Season Numbers · Jihaad CampbellMiss · 0Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.
- Joe MarinoPlayer Season Numbers · Kyle PittsClose · 67Marino argued Kyle Pitts deserves more respect after a good season and expects his touchdown total to keep rising, landing on six touchdowns next season (following the pattern of his yearly totals).