Daniel Jeremiah· Mar 20, 2025

Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.

“So that's why I've slotted cam Ward in at the number one spot.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

28 checkable claims — 22 mock draft picks, 2 player season numbers, 2 trade and signing calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 45 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

25 of 28 have settled so far, averaging 58.7 out of 100, against 48.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

28 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Trade and Signing Calls Kirk CousinsMar 20, 2025
Kirk Cousins to move
“you do hear kirk Cousins name mentioned... I do believe he is going to get traded eventually”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
ATL
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
ATL
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Tyler BookerMar 20, 2025
Tyler Booker to be picked “latter third of the first round” (picks 1–102)
“So I think Booker get he'll get back in, He'll get back into the latter third. I would say of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Tyler Booker
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
latter third of the first round (picks 1–102)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Cam Robinson Houston TexansMar 20, 2025
Cam Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart
“It's going to be a starting he's going to be starting left tackle. It's going to get a decent money.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 75-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
HOU
skill:
-16.67
player:
Cam Robinson
season:
2025
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
75
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
5
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Matthew Golden Dallas CowboysMar 20, 2025
Matthew Golden to be 1st receiver off the board
“first receiver off the board... Yeah, he's my first receiver. So that's how I have him stacked.”
Miss · 35Scored 35.36a naive guess scored 16.05+19.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 31 at random averages 16.05
skill:
19.31
player:
Matthew Golden
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
35.36
baseline:
16.05
position:
receiver
class size:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
4
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Jihaad Campbell New Orleans SaintsMar 20, 2025
Jihaad Campbell to record 12 sacks
“This dude can rush off the edge. You could literally line him up as an outside linebacker. He might get you twelve sacks next year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
3.24
skill:
0
what happened:
0
player:
Jihaad Campbell
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
12
statistic:
sacks
difficulty:
2
last season:
no prior season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
3.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Nick Emmanwori Minnesota VikingsMar 20, 2025
Nick Emmanwori to record 8 sacks
“you cut him loose and let him blitz. He might have eight ten sacks next year if they if he went there.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 10.53-21.05 skill
How this was scored
naive:
1.38
skill:
-21.05
what happened:
2.5
player:
Nick Emmanwori
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
10.53
predicted:
8
statistic:
sacks
difficulty:
2
last season:
no prior season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1.38
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Shemar Stewart Philadelphia EaglesMar 20, 2025
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 32
“I noticed Samar Stewart, who blew up the combine, is number thirty two in your mock draft. The Eagles taking another big, strong, fast guy.”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Shemar Stewart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
17
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Colston Loveland Seattle SeahawksMar 20, 2025
Colston Loveland to be picked at number 18
“Colson Lovelin, What a what a pickup this would be for the Seattle Seahawks... You have him falling to eighteenth”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Colston Loveland
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Malaki Starks Miami DolphinsMar 20, 2025
Malaki Starks to be picked at number 13
“Yeah, Starks to the Dolphins. I should have mentioned at thirteen.”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Malaki Starks
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Cam Ward Tennessee TitansMar 20, 2025
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“So this time around, we got cam Ward number one... So that's why I've slotted cam Ward in at the number one spot.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Travis Hunter New England PatriotsMar 20, 2025
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 4
“Travis Hunter to the Patriots at four”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Matthew Golden Dallas CowboysMar 20, 2025
Matthew Golden to be picked at number 12
“Matthew Golden number twelve overall... There's no Accngendy on the board for the Cowboys”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Matthew Golden
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
23
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Jihaad Campbell New Orleans SaintsMar 20, 2025
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 9
“Jihad Campbell all the way up to number nine. From twenty nine... Campbell to the Saints is really interesting to me”
Miss · 39Scored 38.56 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Jihaad Campbell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
38.56
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
38.56
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Ashton Jeanty Las Vegas RaidersMar 20, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
“Accid Empty to the Raiders at six... Genti from twenty one up to six”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Nick Emmanwori Minnesota VikingsMar 20, 2025
Nick Emmanwori to be picked at number 24
“Nick and Worry from the you know, South Carolina is at twenty four to the Viking team”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Nick Emmanwori
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Abdul Carter Cleveland BrownsMar 20, 2025
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2
“Abdull Carter is there now at number two going to the Browns.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Mason Graham Carolina PanthersMar 20, 2025
Mason Graham to be picked at number 8
“Mason Graham to the Panthers, at eight... I think he went from what five to eight”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Mason Graham
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Maxwell Hairston Green Bay PackersMar 20, 2025
Maxwell Hairston to be picked at number 23
“Maxwell Harston is new. He's at twenty three to the Packers... that's why I had him going to the Packers”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Maxwell Hairston
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Jaxson Dart Pittsburgh SteelersMar 20, 2025
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21
“Jackson's Dart going twenty one to the Steelers”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Armand Membou New York JetsMar 20, 2025
Armand Membou to be picked at number 7
“behind armand Membu, who's going number seven to the Jets”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Armand Membou
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Donovan Ezeiruaku Tampa Bay BuccaneersMar 20, 2025
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 19
“Donovan Azeraku go into the Bucks at night... now he's all the way up to nineteen”
Miss · 34Scored 33.86 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Donovan Ezeiruaku
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
33.86
baseline:
50
actual pick:
44
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
33.86
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Will Campbell Chicago BearsMar 20, 2025
Will Campbell to be picked at number 10
“Will Campbell the tackle from LSU go to the Bears. At ten”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Shedeur Sanders New York GiantsMar 20, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 3
“Sedar Sanders is up to number three with the Giants.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.22 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
0.22
baseline:
50
actual pick:
144
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.22
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Azareye'h ThomasMar 20, 2025
Azareye'h Thomas to be picked at number 29
“and then the cornerback as Aarya Thomas from Florida State at twenty nine”
Miss · 15Scored 14.87 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Azareye'h Thomas
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
14.87
baseline:
50
actual pick:
73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
14.87
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Jalon Walker Jacksonville JaguarsMar 20, 2025
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 5
“Jalen Walker from of the linebacker going to the Jaguars at five”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.6 against a shuffle’s 50+28.6 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.6
player:
Jalon Walker
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.6
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Jalen McMillan Los Angeles ChargersMar 20, 2025
Jalen McMillan to be picked at number 22
“you have them twenty two going to the Los Angeles Chargers... I think it's possible. Maybe it's not likely he gets all the way to twenty two”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Kelvin Banks Jr.Houston TexansMar 20, 2025
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at a slot they never named
“You had him going Kelvin Banks, who plays the same position [to the Houston Texans]”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Zy Alexander Green Bay PackersMar 20, 2025
Zy Alexander to move to Green Bay Packers
“a team with jy O Xanders. I think we'd say his days are not long there.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Doug JoubertRoster Spot Calls · Kelvin Banks Jr.Miss · 0
Joubert grades the Saints' units after their win at Baltimore and predicts that left tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. will be placed on injured reserve, with one of three practice-squad tackles potentially elevated.
Bradley LockerTrade and Signing Calls · Mazi SmithHit · 100
Locker lists 10 players on the roster bubble entering 2026, suggesting Tyrone Tracy may not make the Giants' 53, Broderick Jones could be traded or cut by Pittsburgh, Dillon Gabriel may lose the Browns' QB3 job, Evan Neal's Giants tenure may end, and Will Levis will likely be traded or cut by Tennessee.
Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52
Expects the Falcons to fall to 0-2 in Cooper Rush starts, losing 24-13 to Carolina.
Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100
Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
Garrett ChapmanScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 50
Thinks Atlanta matches up well but still falls short, picking Carolina 23-20.

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