What's Wright with Nick Wright · Aug 31, 2025

Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. He also makes a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.

“The bet is Bengals under nine and a half.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

14 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Depth Chart CallsAug 31, 2025
“he is fairly right now their third best option to be a starting quarterback”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
-16.67
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsAug 31, 2025
“the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third of the way into the season, they pull the plug on Flacco. They go to Dylan Gabriel.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
16.67
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 31, 2025
“The Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs at least ten games, I should say.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 31, 2025
“You got the Bucks at minus one seventy to make the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsAug 31, 2025
“If in Week one Flacco goes out, you would have to be more comfortable putting Gabriel in.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
0
player:
Dillon Gabriel
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 31, 2025
“We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs... I'm having them make the playoffs at plus one eighty.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 31, 2025
“And the numbers four and a half, I've got to go over four and a half, and so I will go over four and a half”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
CLE
naive:
5.75
skill:
30
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85
predicted:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 31, 2025
“You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus three forty... I just like the value at plus three forty.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 31, 2025
“the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus three eighty... I'm gonna lay minus three eighty”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 31, 2025
“to me, the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire their head coach.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 45-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
naive:
8.75
skill:
-10
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
45
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win TotalsAug 31, 2025
“So Ravens demonse over under eleven and a half juice slightly to the over... So because of that, I'm an over.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 55-70 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
naive:
10.25
skill:
-70
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
55
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 31, 2025
“Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs... at five to one, I'm good with it.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team CallsAug 31, 2025
“there has to be the shock playoff team. I have cast my lot with it being the Raiders.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 31, 2025
“Yeah, I mean they're gonna win the division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?