Colin Cowherd· Nov 7, 2025
Cowherd reshaped the AFC playoff field: Kansas City in over Jacksonville, Baltimore in over the Chargers, Buffalo and Pittsburgh unchanged, and predicted Kansas City and Buffalo to meet in the AFC Championship in Buffalo.
“So it would be Josh Allen and Mahomes again meeting for the AFC Championship in Buffalo.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
9 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 4 playoff picks and 1 conference champion — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 44.4 out of 100, against 55.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver
“Then Kansas City would go to Denver and I would take Kansas City”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-150 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 19-22
- skill:
- -150
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“so it would be Josh Allen and Mahomes again meeting for the AFC Championship in Buffalo”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensNov 7, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“the Ravens to replace the Chargers, even though the records right now don't feel that way”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore
“and I think I would take Josh Allen over Lamar”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 40-41
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensNov 7, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to beat New England
“Baltimore over New England”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 28-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Colts
“I believe the winners are Kansas City over the Colts”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 20-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2025
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I'll put Kansas City to replace the Jags as a wild card team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 9
What others said about the same people
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Elijah SarrattHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Elijah SarrattHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
- Bryan DeArdoRoster Spot Calls · Drew AllarHit · 100A CBS Sports piece lays out Pittsburgh's quarterback pecking order: Aaron Rodgers starts, Mason Rudolph is the No. 2, rookie Drew Allar sits at No. 3 and Will Howard is fourth, with the Steelers expected to keep all four quarterbacks on the initial 53-man roster rather than trading Howard.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Ar'maj Reed-AdamsMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
- Spenny PowersRoster Spot Calls · Ethan BurkeHit · 100Powers says undrafted edge Ethan Burke's traits should earn him a spot on the Ravens' roster.
- Jack MarkowskiRoster Spot Calls · Will HowardHit · 100Markowski writes that Howard now appears locked into the 53-man roster, that Pittsburgh is unlikely to move Rudolph, and that Rudolph has the inside track to be the backup behind Aaron Rodgers.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Huber forecasts the Packers starting 3-4 through seven games — losing at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, beating the Jets and Falcons, losing to the Bears — and finishing the season with about eight wins.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.