Cowherd reshaped the AFC playoff field: Kansas City in over Jacksonville, Baltimore in over the Chargers, Buffalo and Pittsburgh unchanged, and predicted Kansas City and Buffalo to meet in the AFC Championship in Buffalo.

9 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensNov 7, 2025

  “the Ravens to replace the Chargers, even though the records right now don't feel that way”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  BAL

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  false

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2025

  “and I think I would take Josh Allen over Lamar”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  BUF

  score:

  40-41

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  BUF

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  BUF

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensNov 7, 2025

  “Baltimore over New England”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  NE

  score:

  28-24

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  BAL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  BAL

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025

  “I believe the winners are Kansas City over the Colts”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  KC

  score:

  20-23

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  KC

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  KC

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsNov 7, 2025

  “and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  BUF

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  true

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025

  “I'll put Kansas City to replace the Jags as a wild card team.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  KC

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  false

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 7, 2025

  “and then I'll take Buffalo and Pittsburgh to remain the same”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  PIT

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  1.5

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  true

  weeks left when called:

  9

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025

  “Then Kansas City would go to Denver and I would take Kansas City”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2025

  “so it would be Josh Allen and Mahomes again meeting for the AFC Championship in Buffalo”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?