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Seton O'Connor · Feb 7, 2025

Picked the Eagles over the Chiefs in a close game, 31-28, with Jalen Hurts as MVP.

I'm actually going Eagles over the Chiefs.

said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Thirty one, twenty eight. Jalen Hurts MVP.

    Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jalen Hurts
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Josh Allen
    correct:
    false
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Thirty one, twenty eight. Jalen Hurts MVP.

    Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 62.56+1.72 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-40
    skill:
    1.72
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    64.29
    baseline:
    62.56
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.28
    predicted margin:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • I'm actually going Eagles over the Chiefs. I want to say blowout, but I'm actually gonna say it's gonna be a close game.

    Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    champion:
    PHI
    runner up:
    KC
    naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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