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Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz· Jan 25, 2026

His mock, as read on air, has Sonny Styles at No. 12 and Clemson cornerback Avion Terrell at No. 20.

said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 55.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where this call stands in the room

Sonny Styles · 2025 season · overall pick

5 calls from 5 pundits between 2 overall pick and 27 overall pick. Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz said 12 overall pick. the room's median is 12 overall pick. what happened: 7 overall pick

Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz12 overall pickthe room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 12 overall pickwhat happened — 7 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
12They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12

    Michael Middlehurst Schwartz from USA Today... Number 12, Sonny Styles, linebacker Ohio State.

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20

    And at number 20, Avion Terrell, cornerback Clemson.

    Miss · 30Scored 29.73a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Avieon Terrell
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    29.73
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    48
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    29.73
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

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