Matt Miller· Feb 21, 2026
Miller expects a consequential Chiefs offseason with Chris Jones potentially traded, predicts Kyler Murray gets traded, and offers draft-board opinions: Jeremiah Love as his top overall player, Makai Lemon as his top receiver ranked eighth overall with a ceiling around pick five, Keldrick Faulk around 20th on his board, plus combine expectations for Reuben Bain's and David Bailey's weights and Malik Muhammad's 40 time.
“I think we're gonna see Kyler Murray probably get traded this offseason.”
said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 3 combine measurements, 3 mock draft picks, 2 trade and signing calls and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 64.1 out of 100, against 50.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Makai Lemon · 2025 season · positional finish4 calls from 3 pundits between 1 positional finish and 3 positional finish. Matt Miller said 1 positional finish. the room's median is 1 positional finish. what happened: 3 positional finish
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Combine MeasurementsMakai LemonFeb 21, 2026
“I have him at five eleven, one ninety five”
Hit · 87Scored 86.96a naive guess scored 73+13.96 skillHow this was scored
- off:
- 3
- drill:
- weight lbs
- naive:
- the average WR (198.76, from 336 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 14.88 — one standard deviation for a WR
- skill:
- 13.96
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- result:
- 192
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 86.96
- baseline:
- 73
- predicted:
- 195
- sigmas out:
- 0.2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
- Combine MeasurementsRueben BainFeb 21, 2026
Rueben Bain to post come in light, like, two sixty, two sixty five at the combine
“I always expect Bane to come in light, like, two sixty, two sixty five.”
Hit · 83Scored 82.62a naive guess scored 59.18+23.44 skillHow this was scored
- off:
- 3
- drill:
- weight lbs
- naive:
- the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
- skill:
- 23.44
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- result:
- 263
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 82.62
- baseline:
- 59.18
- predicted:
- 260
- sigmas out:
- 0.28
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
- Combine MeasurementsMakai LemonFeb 21, 2026
Makai Lemon to post five eleven at the combine
“I have him at five eleven, one ninety five, and the those my height weights, I don't pull offline. I get them from scouts.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 57.87+42.13 skillHow this was scored
- off:
- 0
- drill:
- height in
- naive:
- the average WR (72.82, from 336 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 2.31 — one standard deviation for a WR
- skill:
- 42.13
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- result:
- 71
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 57.87
- predicted:
- 71
- sigmas out:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
- Position Order CallsMakai LemonFeb 21, 2026
Makai Lemon to be 1st receiver off the board
“he's my he's my top receiver. He's my top 10.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 12.84+37.16 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 12.84
- skill:
- 37.16
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 12.84
- position:
- receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 3
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonFeb 21, 2026
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 8
“Oh, man. Five? Five, six? I had him at eight overall.”
Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 59.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 59.46
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksMalik MuhammadFeb 21, 2026
Malik Muhammad to be picked “a second round guy” (picks 33–64)
“I think if Malik Mohammed can hit four fives, it's gonna be a really, really good number for him. That's gonna help his stock, and he could be a second round guy.”
Miss · 7Scored 7.43 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Malik Muhammad
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 7.43
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 124
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 7.43
- predicted pick:
- a second round guy (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksKeldric FaulkFeb 21, 2026
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20
“I think I have him as, like, right around 20 overall on my board.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Trade and Signing CallsChris JonesFeb 21, 2026
Chris Jones to move
“you said, hey. Yeah. You know, Chris Jones might find his way on the trading block this year... So I wouldn't I wouldn't say that if it wasn't something that I had heard or something I believe.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsKyler MurrayFeb 21, 2026
Kyler Murray to move
“I think we're gonna see Kyler Murray probably get traded this offseason, and that's gonna hammer home that point of money is fake in the NFL.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Mike MoraitisRoster Spot Calls · Malik MuhammadHit · 100Moraitis names seven Bears as trade candidates before roster cuts, predicting Kiran Amegadjie and Jedrick Wills are on the roster bubble and likely to be traded, while Ozzy Trapilo avoids an injured list, and listing several players as locks for the 53-man roster.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Makai LemonHit · 100Kerr's updated 53-man roster projection for the Eagles after eight training camp practices, naming which players make the team at each position plus depth-chart placements like Wicks as WR2, Mundt as TE2, Kendall as third guard, Bell as third tackle, and Epps/Carter battling to start at safety.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Makai LemonHit · 100Kerr judges Eagles camp overreactions: he doubts Jalen Hurts reaches 30 touchdown passes, thinks only one of Darius Cooper or Johnny Wilson makes the 53 (with Cooper leading the WR5 race), and expects Dallas Goedert to post double-digit receiving touchdowns again.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Makai LemonMiss · 0Kerr ranks the Eagles' 2025 draft picks by cut risk, predicting seventh-rounders Keyshawn James-Newby and Cole Wisniewski land on the practice squad, while Cole Payton, Uar Bernard, Makai Lemon, Eli Stowers and Markel Bell make the 53. He also says Lemon starts Week 1 and Bell is the right tackle of the future.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Makai LemonHit · 100Kerr's third Eagles 53-man roster projection names the players he expects to make the team at each position, with Cole Payton, Elijah Moore, Johnny Wilson, Gabe Hall and Rocco Underwood left off; he also predicts Underwood is exposed to waivers and returns to the practice squad, Deontae Lawson lands on the practice squad, and Eli Stowers is the TE3.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Makai LemonHit · 100In his second Eagles 53-man roster projection nine practices into training camp, Kerr names 35 roster locks and eight more players likely to make the team, plus depth-chart calls at backup quarterback, RB3, No. 3 guard and backup center.
More combine measurements
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Field YatesCombine Measurements · Brenen ThompsonClose · 67Yates pegged David Bailey as a top-four pick, called Jeremiah Love clearly the best running back in the class with a draft range from No. 3 overall to the Chiefs at No. 9, put Karnell Tate atop his receiver board, projected Jordan Tyson as a top-15 pick, and expected Brennan Thompson to run in the 4.2s. He also sees both Miami's Mauigoa and Utah's Spencer Fano taken inside the top 15, with Mauigoa having a chance to be the first offensive lineman off the board.
- James HarrisonCombine Measurements · Zachariah BranchMiss · 0The co-host known as Debo, who identifies himself as James Harrison, predicts Caleb Downs runs in the 4.42-4.43 range at the combine and rides the under on Zachariah Branch's 40 time, citing Branch's high school speed.
- Bruce FeldmanCombine Measurements · Cole PaytonHit · 100Feldman discussed Fernando Mendoza as the likely No. 1 overall pick to the Raiders, praised Kenyon Sadik and Sunny Styles as combine standouts, projected Ty Simpson as a late-first-round pick, and pegged Cole Peyton for the fourth-to-fifth round range.
- Daniel JeremiahCombine Measurements · Justin JeffersonMiss · 27On Move the Sticks, Daniel Jeremiah gave his views on the 2026 draft class: he set his board (Jeremiah Love as the second-best player, Malinoi 12th, Fano 14th), ranked the top edge rushers Bailey-Reese-Bain, projected draft ranges for several prospects, and forecast measurables for a few players.
- Ayrton OstleyCombine Measurements · Gabe JacasHit · 100Ostley predicts Mississippi State receiver Brandon/Brennan Thompson runs the fastest 40-yard dash at the combine, expects Mac Jones to be traded to the Vikings, and offers combine performance expectations for several prospects.
- nthony Darelle "Booger" McFarlandCombine Measurements · Arvell ReeseHit · 100McFarland projected Ohio State's Arbel Reese to measure in at roughly 6-4 and 240-245 pounds at the combine, and argued Cincinnati and Trey Hendrickson will go their separate ways this offseason.