Bobby Skinner· Mar 6, 2025
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates he had listed.
“Daniel Jones is going to the Indianapolis Colts with the first pick”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
14 checkable claims — 12 trade and signing calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
10 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 34.5 out of 100, against 37.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
- Khalil Mack
- Chicago Bears
- Haason Reddick
- Washington Commanders
- Darius Slayton
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Davante Adams
- New York Giants
- Aaron Rodgers
- D.J. Reed
- Arizona Cardinals
- Milton Williams
- New England Patriots
- Daniel Jones
- Indianapolis Colts
- Josh Downs
- Justin Fields
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Stefon Diggs
- Houston Texans
- Lavonte David
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Jevon Holland
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Khalil Mack to move to Chicago Bears
“You told you you took my my number one reunion? I had him going back to the Bears.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Khalil Mack
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- CHI
- was with:
- LAC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LAC
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Haason Reddick to move to Washington Commanders
“I'm gonna go Husan Reddick to the commanders ... He's a great fit with the commander.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Haason Reddick
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- WAS
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- TB
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Darius Slayton to move to Los Angeles Chargers
“There's two options, the Chargers and the Steelers. I'm going Chargers. That's who I had”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Darius Slayton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LAC
- was with:
- NYG
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Davante Adams to move to New York Giants
“I'm doubling up. We're discount doubling up. Davante Adams to the New York Giants.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Davante Adams
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- LV/NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LAR
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Aaron Rodgers to move to New York Giants
“Aaron Rodgers is the next New York Giants quarterback.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- PIT
- weeks left when called:
- 18
D.J. Reed to move to Arizona Cardinals
“DJ Reed to the Arizona Cardinals. They have a lot of cap space”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- D.J. Reed
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- ARI
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- DET
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Milton Williams to move to New England Patriots
“I'm taking another swing, Milton Williams to the Patriots”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Milton Williams
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- PHI
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts
“Daniel Jones is going to the Indianapolis Colts with the first pick”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Daniel Jones
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- IND
- was with:
- NYG/MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- IND
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“If he may best quarterback and like he's going to win the jobs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Daniel Jones
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Josh Downs to record 80 receptions
“he's gonna have a facelift in that. Like Josh Downs eighty catches.”
Close · 45Scored 45a naive guess scored 71.82-53.63 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 49.83
- skill:
- -53.63
- what happened:
- 58
- player:
- Josh Downs
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 45
- baseline:
- 71.82
- predicted:
- 80
- statistic:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 27.65
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“my real pick is going to be a layup Justin Fields to the Steelers. It seems like he's staying there”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Stefon Diggs to move to Houston Texans
“I had him staying with the Texans.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Lavonte David to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“So I'm going Levante David back to the Bucks. He signs one year deals every year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsJevon HollandMar 6, 2025
Jevon Holland to move
“I had him as a bronco like they just get They just want to keep on against stronger and stronger.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jared KochRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Lewis BondHit · 100Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Keenan AllenHit · 100Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.
- Seth WalderTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandMiss · 0Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- Diante LeeTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami.
- Fernando Alfaro-DonisTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option.
- Scott BogmanTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Bogman laid out fades on Malik Nabers (knee), Kenneth Walker, Bhayshul Tuten, Christian Watson, Jackson Dart and Sam LaPorta, while liking Isaiah Likely and staying more positive on DJ Moore; he also gave his top-seven tight end board and expected Tuten to lead Jacksonville's backfield.
- Rich EisenTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Eisen delivered his SoFi-presented power rankings of the 2026 NFL draftees most likely to live up to their billing, counting down from Mekhi Lemmon at No. 10 to Jeremiah Love at No. 1. He also predicted the Eagles will trade A.J. Brown and picked three NFC South teams to go over their win totals.
- Chris BrockmanTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Brockman argued the Rams wasted the No. 13 pick on quarterback Ty Simpson and will regret passing on Reuben Bain or Mekhi Lemmon; he also predicted the Eagles trade A.J. Brown after June 1, that Drew Allar will start the most games at QB for the Steelers, that the Browns finish no worse than second in the AFC North, that the Saints avoid picking in the top half of the 2027 draft, that Jeremiah Love leads the NFL in rushing as a rookie, and that the Giants will have the league's most ferocious pass rush in 2026.