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Anthony Armstrong· Apr 9, 2026

Armstrong said receiver Jeff Caldwell's athletic traits (6-5 with 4.31 speed) but limited production mean he'll be drafted in the third or fourth round as a developmental prospect.

“his own field production hasn't matched, so he's gonna get picked up in the third, fourth round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
third, fourth round (picks 65–140)They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jeff Caldwell to be picked “third, fourth round” (picks 65–140)

    “Caldwell being six five, he'd be a first rounder in my Madden franchises with my friends... his own field production hasn't matched, so he's gonna get picked up in the third, fourth round. He's gonna be an experimental guy.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jeff Caldwell
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with KC
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    third, fourth round (picks 65–140)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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