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JP Acosta· Jan 21, 2026

JP leaned toward the Rams beating the Seahawks in the NFC Championship, treated Ty Simpson as the class's first quarterback off the board, and made several draft projections for Senior Bowl and Shrine Bowl prospects.

“I'm kinda leaning Rams.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks, 1 game outcome pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 35.4 out of 100, against 69.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where this call stands in the room

Ty Simpson · 2025 season · positional finish

7 calls from 6 pundits between 1 positional finish and 3 positional finish. JP Acosta said 1 positional finish. the room's median is 2 positional finish. what happened: 2 positional finish

JP Acosta — 1 positional finishthe room — 7 calls from 6 punditsmedian 2 positional finishwhat happened — 2 positional finish

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Seahawks

    “I'm kinda leaning Rams. ... I'm gonna lean with the guy that's been there before.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    -100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

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  • Ty Simpson to be 1st quarterback off the board

    “QB three, even QB two sort of feels like it's up for grabs right now. Whoever gets drafted after Ty Simpson feels like it could be anyone's guess.”

    Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 39.7+31.01 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
    skill:
    31.01
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    39.7
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

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  • Taylen Green to be picked “potentially late day two, early day three”

    “we could see him come off the board, potentially late day two, early day three”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Dalton Johnson to be picked “going to get drafted”

    “Dalton Johnson is going to get drafted.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Jeff Caldwell to be picked “he's gonna get drafted”

    “If he can really show up in one on ones and make a lot and do a lot of good work, he's gonna get drafted”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Dante Corleone to be picked “day two”

    “for a lot of teams that need run stoppers because of where the NFL is going, Corlejo could be a really nice pick on day two”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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What others said about the same people

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