Kurt Warner· Sep 4, 2025
Warner picks the Chiefs to beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl, has the Bengals making the playoffs (with Pittsburgh left out), and names Drake Maye as the second-year quarterback due for the biggest leap.
“So I said the Chiefs were going to beat the Eagles this time around.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 playoff pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“I actually just went with the same two teams... So I said the Chiefs were going to beat the Eagles this time around.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“So I said the Chiefs were going to beat the Eagles this time around.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Super Bowl PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
“So I said the Chiefs were going to beat the Eagles this time around.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“I put the Bengals in. Steelers out with Steelers out Bengals in in that segment”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Cole PaytonHit · 100Kerr ranks the Eagles' 2025 draft picks by cut risk, predicting seventh-rounders Keyshawn James-Newby and Cole Wisniewski land on the practice squad, while Cole Payton, Uar Bernard, Makai Lemon, Eli Stowers and Markel Bell make the 53. He also says Lemon starts Week 1 and Bell is the right tackle of the future.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Rocco UnderwoodMiss · 0Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Ty RobinsonHit · 100Kerr assesses which Eagles have played their way onto or off the initial 53-man roster, projecting roster spots for Willie Lampkin, Drew Kendall, Ty Robinson and others, depth-chart placements for Kendall, Will Shipley, Markel Bell and Jeremiah Trotter Jr., and trouble for Andy Dalton, Rocco Underwood, Micah Morris and Andre Sam.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Marquise BrownHit · 100Kerr says the Eagles' receiver depth chart is largely settled: Dontayvion Wicks as WR2 in Week 1, Makai Lemon as WR3 by default, and Darius Cooper as WR5 with a roster spot locked up. He also predicts Hollywood Brown holds off Cooper and Elijah Moore to make the 53-man roster, while Moore does enough to avoid being cut.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Darius CooperHit · 100In his second Eagles 53-man roster projection nine practices into training camp, Kerr names 35 roster locks and eight more players likely to make the team, plus depth-chart calls at backup quarterback, RB3, No. 3 guard and backup center.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Jordan DavisHit · 100Kerr's updated 53-man roster projection for the Eagles after eight training camp practices, naming which players make the team at each position plus depth-chart placements like Wicks as WR2, Mundt as TE2, Kendall as third guard, Bell as third tackle, and Epps/Carter battling to start at safety.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris BrockmanConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
- Damonza ByrdConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · Denver BroncosClose · 50Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
- AJ HawkConference Champions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 50Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
- Derek MurphyConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.