Gregg Rosenthal· Oct 31, 2025
Rosenthal's three picks against the spread: Seahawks on the road at Washington (his most confident pick of the week), Bears -3 over the Bengals, and the Cardinals to beat the Cowboys outright on Monday night. He also said he's taking the Chiefs in Chiefs-Bills, though it wasn't one of his official picks.
“Also that this team does not deserve to be two and six, which they would be with lost. They're better than that. I think they're going to get a win on Monday Night football.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 31, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat Bengals
“Bears minus three. Okay, that's against the Bengals. Yep, coaching mismatch... I just think the Bears their floor is much higher. I think we get this win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 47-42
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 31, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Washington Commanders
“I'm going to start with my most confident pick of the week... they're only three point underdogs at home to the Seahawks... I just think they're another class than the Washington Commanders team”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 38-14
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 31, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Bills
“I'm taking the Chiefs, but I don't feel amazing about it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- -156
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksArizona CardinalsOct 31, 2025
Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys
“Arizona Cardinals yep, Monday Night Football plus two and a half... I think they're going to get a win on Monday Night football.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 27-17
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
What others said about the same people
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Trevor RipleyScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 38Ripley picks the Bears to beat the Vikings at Soldier Field in Week 2, 30-19, arguing Minnesota's offense is hobbled by injuries while Chicago's offense edges an aggressive but star-thin Vikings defense.
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Brady QuinnGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100In the weekly Picks Against the Spread segment, Quinn took the Vikings to beat the Bears outright, the Bengals to win outright in Houston, the Broncos to beat the Jaguars while laying points, and the Rams to beat the Giants while laying seven.