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Nick Wright· Mar 2, 2026

Wright expects Stefon Diggs to leave New England in free agency, believes the released Juwan Taylor will land somewhere as a starting right tackle for around $15 million, and thinks cornerback Jaylen Watson will not return to Kansas City.

But I bet he gets 15,000,000. He'll be a starting right tackle.

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Stefon Diggs to move

    Stefon Diggs might get a little bit older and get worse. ... Gonna be gone, I think. I don't even I mean, he's free agent.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Stefon Diggs
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    NE
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → WAS
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jaylen Watson to move

    I think Jalen Watson's a really good player, one of the best corners available. He's not gonna be back with Kansas City, I don't think.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jawaan Taylor to be 1st on the depth chart

    Someone will sign him and get a good right tackle. ... But I bet he gets 15,000,000. He'll be a starting right tackle.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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