Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Akbar Gbaja-Biamila· Jan 24, 2025

He picked the Chiefs to beat the Bills 28-20 in the AFC Championship on situational football, but also predicted the Washington Commanders would win the NFC Championship Game over the Eagles.

So I'm giving my final score in this game, which is the Kansas City Chiefs are going to score twenty eight points and the Buffalo Bills twenty points.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 44.1 out of 100, against 99.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Buffalo Bills 20

    the Kansas City Chiefs are going to score twenty eight points and the Buffalo Bills twenty points

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 98.28-10.18 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-32
    skill:
    -10.18
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    98.28
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.28
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles

    Yeah, because I've got the Washington Commanders. That's what I know for sure. The Washington Commanders are winning this game.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    23-55
    skill:
    -100
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.