Gregg Rosenthal · Jan 17, 2025
Rosenthal picked the Lions to blow out the Commanders roughly 38-24, backed the Eagles to beat the Rams, and stuck with his preseason pick of the Bills to win the Super Bowl while also taking Buffalo to beat Baltimore at home.
“I just think the Lions are too strong, too good offensively not to put up thirty five points in this game.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsJan 17, 2025
“This is my favorite pick of the entire week, is the Lions covering that big spread.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 45-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsJan 17, 2025
“they score between thirty five and forty. Jayden has a fine game, and it's somewhere like thirty eight to twenty four.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 22.09+27.91 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 45-31
- skill:
- 27.91
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 22.09
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 14
- Super Bowl PicksBuffalo BillsJan 17, 2025
“I picked the Bills to win the Super Bowl before the season... I feel good about sticking with my preseason pick, and I do pick the Bills.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesJan 17, 2025
“I actually do feel pretty good about the Eagles... I am taking the Eagles to cover the six.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 17, 2025
“I have the Bills winning”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.