Gregg Rosenthal· Feb 10, 2026
Rosenthal gives his free agent wide receiver rankings in tiers, with George Pickens and Alec Pierce a tier above, then Rashid Shaheed, Mike Evans, Wan'Dale Robinson, Romeo Doubs and Jauan Jennings, then Deebo Samuel, Jalen Nailor, Jahan Dotson, Christian Kirk and Marquise Brown. He also predicts A.J. Brown gets traded and DJ Moore gets traded or cut, and thinks Stefon Diggs returns to New England but is no longer a true No. 1 receiver.
“I would, if I had to guess, I think A J. Brown will get traded”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 96 out of 100, against 37.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Trade and Signing CallsA.J. BrownFeb 10, 2026
A.J. Brown to move
“I would, if I had to guess, I think A J. Brown will get traded, although that one seems like a toss up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- A.J. Brown
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- PHI
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NE (from PHI)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Trade and Signing CallsDJ MooreFeb 10, 2026
DJ Moore to move
“I even feel more confident that DJ Moore will get traded or cut.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- DJ Moore
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- CHI
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → CHI (from CAR)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Stefon Diggs to make the roster
“I think I think they will keep them because I think they like what he added to the team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Stefon Diggs
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- first week on the53:
- 1
- Fantasy RankingsFeb 10, 2026
“It's George Pickens and Alec Pierce... Next next group you mentioned Rashid Shaheed, I've got him. I've got Mike Evans... I've got Wandell Robinson, Romeo Dobbs, and Juwan Jennings... I knocked Evo Samuel down to this tier... Jalen Naylor... Johan Dotson... Christian Kirk... Marquise Brown”
Hit · 84Scored 83.92a naive guess scored 50+33.92 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 33.92
- placed:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.92
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 12: 83.92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Steven RuizTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud.
- Diante LeeTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami.
- Garrett PodellTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100In a quarterback rapid-fire segment and later discussion, Brooks named starters for several clubs (Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy in Minnesota, Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland, Tua in Atlanta, Jeremiah Love as Arizona's starting running back), called Chris Olave a No. 1 receiver, backed Stefon Diggs landing with the Commanders and Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, argued Baker Mayfield belongs among the top 15-17 quarterbacks, and published a top-five defensive tackle list topped by Jeffrey Simmons.
- Shannon SharpeTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100Sharpe ("Unc"/"Donk") said the veteran receiver they were discussing would be signed by a team, though he named no destination.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsHit · 100Ocho predicted the free-agent receiver would sign with either Baltimore or Washington, and separately claimed the Dallas Cowboys would be the class of the NFC this season.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Brandon CarneyTrade and Signing Calls · Mike EvansMiss · 0Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others.
- Tom StrachanTrade and Signing Calls · Mike EvansMiss · 0Tom Strachan offered his own 2026 free-agent landing spots, sending Aaron Rodgers to Arizona, Malik Willis to Pittsburgh, Alec Pierce to Seattle, Mike Evans to Baltimore, Deebo Samuel to Carolina, Kenneth Walker to Houston, Breece Hall to Washington, Kyle Pitts to Philadelphia and Dallas Goedert to Miami, while keeping Daniel Jones and Javonte Williams with their current teams.
- Jake CielyTrade and Signing Calls · Mike EvansHit · 100On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandMiss · 0Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Keenan AllenHit · 100Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.