Derek Brown· Apr 8, 2026
Brown says Ty Simpson is the clear bust of this quarterback/prospect group while defending Fernando Mendoza as a clean evaluation, and he treats Carnell Tate as a long-established top-ten talent who could even go inside the top five.
“I think if we're talking about bus players, get you know, Ty Simpson all day, I think that's that's the clear bust to me.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 1 draft bust call and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateApr 8, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)
“because I'm like, dude, he's always been a top ten pick of we talking about top ten or now top five. I mean, you can make a case for the Giants, you can make a case for the Tennessee Titans to take him at four or five.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top ten pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Draft Bust CallsTy SimpsonApr 8, 2026
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
“I think if we're talking about bus players, get you know, Ty Simpson all day, I think that's that's the clear bust to me.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Blaine GrisakRoster Spot Calls · Ty SimpsonHit · 100After the Rams' first preseason game, Grisak predicted the full 53-man roster, naming three quarterbacks, four running backs, five receivers, five tight ends, nine offensive linemen, four linebackers, six defensive linemen, four edge rushers, five cornerbacks, five safeties and three special teamers, with Dean Connors headed for the practice squad instead.
- Dharya SharmaRoster Spot Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Previewing the Titans' preseason opener, Sharma identifies five receivers as roster locks, expects Bryce Oliver to make the 53 on special teams value, and predicts Will Levis will not be on Tennessee's roster by September, likely being moved for a late-round pick.
- Rich EisenMock Draft Picks · Ty SimpsonHit · 100Eisen argues that if Ty Simpson does go in the first round, it will be in the bottom third of the round.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Ty SimpsonHit · 100Brooks argued Ty Simpson's value matches the bottom of the first round or the second round, not a top-six pick, and graded receiver Germie Bernard as a middle-of-the-second-round prospect.
More draft bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Anthony RichardsonHit · 100Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance.
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Omarion HamptonPendingMiddlekauff would rank the Ravens as the No. 1 team in the NFL after their win over the Colts, and says Chargers first-round running back Omarion Hampton looks like nothing special for a back taken that high.
- Kyle SoppeDraft Bust Calls · Xavier WorthyPendingSoppe names four players he considers overvalued for 2026 fantasy football after hot 2025 seasons — Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Patrick Mahomes, Rhamondre Stevenson and Harold Fannin Jr. — and argues Smith-Njigba is far more likely to repeat his modest 2024 line than his 2025 explosion, while Xavier Worthy won't justify his first-round draft capital and TreVeyon Henderson takes over New England's lead backfield role.
- Colin CowherdDraft Bust Calls · Quentin JohnstonPendingIn a one-minute-per-team AFC preview, the unnamed host called the Bills a near-lock for 10 wins and still the AFC East favorite, tabbed the Dolphins as the league's worst team with the Jets close behind, said Aaron Glenn may be the NFL's worst head coach, projected another nine-win season for the Bengals, called Cleveland's quarterback room the league's worst, insisted Patrick Mahomes will start Week 1, and doubted Quentin Johnston will justify his draft slot.
- Eric CrockerDraft Bust Calls · De'Zhaun StriblingPendingIn a mock war-room debate, Crocker argued the 49ers wasted the 33rd overall pick on Dejean Stribling, comparing him to the Trey Lance gamble on traits and work ethic, and citing inconsistent route-running and trouble playing through contact.