John Middlekauff · Sep 10, 2025
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
“I would be stunned if one of those two guys doesn't win the MVP this year.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Award PicksJosh AllenBuffalo BillsSep 10, 2025
“Josh all and Lamar Jackson are gonna continue to rack up MVPs. I would be stunned if one of those two guys doesn't win the MVP this year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Josh Allen
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Award PicksLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensSep 10, 2025
“Josh all and Lamar Jackson are gonna continue to rack up MVPs. I would be stunned if one of those two guys doesn't win the MVP this year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Mock Draft PicksJohn MateerSep 10, 2025
“And John Mattier is going to be a first round pick.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- John Mateer
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- first round pick (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Draft Bust CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago BearsSep 10, 2025
“if I was a betting man right now, I would say this is not gonna work. I don't think Caleb is good... you would put money on Caleb Williams not working out... worst case scenario, Kayleb Williams is a bust, which is a tough word to say when you draft a guy number one overall”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skillHow this was scored
- pick:
- 1
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- the pick returned about what it cost
- round:
- 1
- skill:
- -194
- player:
- Caleb Williams
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- best finish:
- QB5 in 2025
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- had to reach:
- QB5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- seasons played:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Mock Draft PicksJohn MateerSep 10, 2025
“He will be in the Heisman mix, and he will be discussed as a top fifteen to twenty pick.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- John Mateer
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- top fifteen to twenty pick (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Season Win TotalsChicago BearsSep 10, 2025
“Now, after watching that last night, like, yeah, six seven wins, that's what I feel like, that's gonna be your quarterback”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.