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Kyle Brandt· Nov 1, 2025

Stands by all his preseason picks, most proud of the Seahawks winning the NFC West, and doubles down on the Steelers making the playoffs at 9-8 or 10-7.

It's the Steelers... It is still going to happen. I won't deviate.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 3 playoff picks, 1 award pick and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    I had winning the NFC West, not as a wild card, not behind the Rams, not behind San Francisco, but the Sam Darnold, wildly unproven Seahawks.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    156
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    won the division:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    I know, the Bears, someone jumps out as being strange, but everything else, I mean, the wildcard teams, the division champs, like, I'm pretty comfortable with that.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    156
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    Is it nine and eight and they squeak in or is it ten and seven and they have a nice comfortable wild card. It is still going to happen. I won't deviate.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cam Ward to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    my pick for offensive Rookie of the Year. I was sitting here saying, cam Ward

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    I like my wild cards. I like pretty much everything except the Ravens record is not good.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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