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Craig Stout· Feb 24, 2026

Craig believes better execution from a Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs team will be enough to return them to the playoffs in the coming season, and he expects Tyler Algeier to land with Denver as a complement to RJ Harvey.

It's Patrick Mahomes, And it's gonna be a little bit better execution and a little bit better performance out there, and that's good enough to get into the playoffs.

said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 playoff pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Tyler Allgeier to move to Denver Broncos

    I think Bronco Broncos feels like the algae are home. He's the perfect compliment to RJ Harvey, and I would hate it so much.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Tyler Allgeier
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    DEN
    was with:
    ATL
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    ATL
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    they're just gonna be a more competitive team next year, probably be a playoff team... It's Patrick Mahomes, And it's gonna be a little bit better execution and a little bit better performance out there, and that's good enough to get into the playoffs.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.