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Brian Bosarge· Apr 14, 2026

Bosarge's seven-round mock gives Buffalo Indiana WR Omar Cooper at 26, TCU linebacker Caleb Elarms Orr at 91, Michigan defensive lineman Rayshawn Benny at 126, Michal Camara at 165, safety Lewis Moore at 168, and Stanford cornerback Colin Wright at 220.

“Getting a dependable target like Cooper late in the first would help a lot.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 17.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
91They said
126What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksKaleb Elarms-OrrBuffalo BillsApr 14, 2026

    Kaleb Elarms-Orr to be picked at number 91

    “Round three, pick 91. It's Caleb Elarms Orr, the linebacker from TCU”

    Miss · 22Scored 21.95 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Kaleb Elarms-Orr
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    21.95
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    126
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    21.95
    predicted pick:
    91
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksOmar CooperBuffalo BillsApr 14, 2026

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 26

    “Pick, 26, Omar Cooper, the wide receiver out of Indiana.”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksLouis MooreBuffalo BillsApr 14, 2026

    Louis Moore to be picked at number 168

    “At one sixty eight, it's Lewis Moore, a safety out of Indiana.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Louis Moore
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    168
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksRayshaun BennyBuffalo BillsApr 14, 2026

    Rayshaun Benny to be picked at number 126

    “Round four, pick one twenty six. It's Rayshawn Benny, defensive lineman from Michigan.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Rayshaun Benny
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    250
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.46
    predicted pick:
    126
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksMikail KamaraBuffalo BillsApr 14, 2026

    Mikail Kamara to be picked at number 165

    “at one sixty five, it's Michal Camara out of Indiana. That's an edge rusher.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Mikail Kamara
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with SF
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    165
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksCollin WrightBuffalo BillsApr 14, 2026

    Collin Wright to be picked at number 220

    “And at pick two twenty in the seventh round, it's Colin Wright, a cornerback out of Stanford.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Collin Wright
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with HOU
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    220
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

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