LaVar Arrington · Sep 12, 2025
Arrington rejects the Raiders hype ("putting makeup on a pig") and lays out Washington's upcoming slate as winnable, saying the Commanders should beat the Raiders, Falcons and Bears. For Week 2 he takes the Saints on the money line over the 49ers, the Cowboys over the Giants, and the Chiefs on the money line against the Eagles.
“So they should beat the Raiders, they should beat the Falcons.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersSep 12, 2025
“So they should beat the Raiders, they should beat the Falcons.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 27-34
- skill:
- -194
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans SaintsSep 12, 2025
“you have delivered your six picks money line on the Saint... And it's gonna and they're gonna win. Hard to play in New Orleans”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 26-21
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersSep 12, 2025
“So they should beat the Raiders, they should beat the Falcons.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 24-41
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 12, 2025
“It's my money line of the week, second one... money line in the Chiefs?”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersSep 12, 2025
“Yeah, I mean, and they should beat the Bears... they should be able to beat them.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 25-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 12, 2025
“Cowboys will cover.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.