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LaVar Arrington· Sep 12, 2025

Arrington rejects the Raiders hype ("putting makeup on a pig") and lays out Washington's upcoming slate as winnable, saying the Commanders should beat the Raiders, Falcons and Bears. For Week 2 he takes the Saints on the money line over the 49ers, the Cowboys over the Giants, and the Chiefs on the money line against the Eagles.

“So they should beat the Raiders, they should beat the Falcons.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 12, 2025

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants

    “Cowboys will cover.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    37-40
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersSep 12, 2025

    Washington Commanders to beat Falcons

    “So they should beat the Raiders, they should beat the Falcons.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    27-34
    skill:
    -194
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans SaintsSep 12, 2025

    New Orleans Saints to beat 49ers

    “you have delivered your six picks money line on the Saint... And it's gonna and they're gonna win. Hard to play in New Orleans”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersSep 12, 2025

    Washington Commanders to beat Raiders

    “So they should beat the Raiders, they should beat the Falcons.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    24-41
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 12, 2025

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Eagles

    “It's my money line of the week, second one... money line in the Chiefs?”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersSep 12, 2025

    Washington Commanders to beat Bears

    “Yeah, I mean, and they should beat the Bears... they should be able to beat them.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    25-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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