Pete Prisco· Sep 18, 2026
Prisco picks four road/home winners with exact scores: Falcons over Panthers, Bears over Vikings, Jaguars upsetting Broncos, Chargers over Raiders, and Cowboys over Commanders.
“Falcons win it behind Robinson's big day.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 5 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 41.4 out of 100, against 39 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Vikings at Bears 17 calls
- Panthers at Falcons 17 calls
- Jaguars at Broncos 35 calls
- Raiders at Chargers 9 calls
- Commanders at Cowboys 14 calls
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysSep 18, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Commanders 24
“Pete Prisco on why the Cowboys will notch their first win of the season over Washington, 31-24.”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 58.29+34.72 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-37
- skill:
- 34.72
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 76.19
- baseline:
- 58.29
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- -0.52
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsSep 18, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Broncos 20
“Pete Prisco on why he likes Jacksonville to pull off the 23-20 upset in Denver.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 82.1-80.76 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 13-20
- skill:
- -80.76
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 40.48
- baseline:
- 82.1
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- -0.52
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles ChargersSep 18, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Raiders 16
“Pete Prisco on why he has the Chargers bouncing back against the Raiders, 24-16.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 20.2+39.34 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-14
- skill:
- 39.34
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 40.48
- baseline:
- 20.2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- -0.52
- predicted margin:
- 8
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsSep 18, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 21 — Panthers 17
“Pete Prisco on why he has the Falcons taking down the Panthers on the road, 21-17.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 34-3
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 31
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- -0.52
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsSep 18, 2026
Chicago Bears 30 — Vikings 24
“Pete Prisco on why he has the Bears pulling off the 30-24 win over Minnesota.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 34.49+30.1 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 9-3
- skill:
- 30.1
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 34.49
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- -0.52
- predicted margin:
- 6
What others said about the same people
- Trevor RipleyScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 38Ripley picks the Bears to beat the Vikings at Soldier Field in Week 2, 30-19, arguing Minnesota's offense is hobbled by injuries while Chicago's offense edges an aggressive but star-thin Vikings defense.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Carter BahnsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Expects the Falcons to fall to 0-2 in Cooper Rush starts, losing 24-13 to Carolina.
- Garrett ChapmanScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 50Thinks Atlanta matches up well but still falls short, picking Carolina 23-20.
- Jerry JonesScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Predicts Carolina pulls away from Atlanta, with the Falcons defense keeping it close early, in a 27-16 Panthers win.
- Alain PoupartScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersClose · 71Poupart predicts the 49ers beat the Dolphins 27-17 at Levi's Stadium in Week 2, though he expects the game to be closer than the spread suggests. He also anticipates a larger role for De'Von Achane and a big passing day from Brock Purdy.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesClose · 60Predicts Philadelphia beats Tennessee 34-13.
- Eric MoodyScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesClose · 74Predicts an Eagles win over Tennessee, 31-16.