Nick Wright· Dec 27, 2025
Nick Wright says Drake Maye proved he's an elite quarterback and will be a top-five QB going forward, and he made five weekend picks: Dallas blowing out Washington, Jacksonville over Indianapolis, Pittsburgh over Cleveland, Buffalo over Philadelphia, and Chicago winning outright at San Francisco. He also expects Josh Johnson to start at QB for Washington and Philadelphia to land the No. 3 seed.
“I think he is just going to be a top five quarterback moving forward.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 1 depth chart call, 1 positional finishe and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 53.6 out of 100, against 56 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersDec 27, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland
“I'll lay the four points with Pittsburgh. I got no problem with that.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 6-13
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsDec 27, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indy
“you got Jacksonville minus six and a half at Indy... But I'll take the six and a half.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 23-17
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldPhiladelphia EaglesDec 27, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed
“No matter what happens to the rest of the way they're the two or the three seed, and they are probably the three seed”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- checked as:
- seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
- actual tier:
- host
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (host)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 3
- claimed tier:
- host
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsDec 27, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat San Francisco
“I think the Bears can win that game outright. So my five picks are Dallas minus six and a half, Jacksonville minus six and a half, Pittsburgh minus four, Buffalo minus two and a half, Chicago plus three.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 38-42
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
Josh Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think Josh Johnson's playing quarterback for Washington. I don't know this, but I think it.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-9.25 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- -9.25
- player:
- Josh Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsDec 27, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Philly
“I just think Buffalo's better, Buffalo needs the game. Buffalo's at home. I'll take Buffalo”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 13-12
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
“I think he is just going to be a top five quarterback moving forward. He's legit.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 0+101.75 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 101.75
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 5
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysDec 27, 2025
Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington
“They're gonna move the ball, Dallas is gonna blow out the Commanders. I love the Cowboys minus six and a half”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Ameer AbdullahHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Cole PaytonHit · 100Kerr ranks the Eagles' 2025 draft picks by cut risk, predicting seventh-rounders Keyshawn James-Newby and Cole Wisniewski land on the practice squad, while Cole Payton, Uar Bernard, Makai Lemon, Eli Stowers and Markel Bell make the 53. He also says Lemon starts Week 1 and Bell is the right tackle of the future.
- Bryan DeArdoRoster Spot Calls · Drew AllarHit · 100A CBS Sports piece lays out Pittsburgh's quarterback pecking order: Aaron Rodgers starts, Mason Rudolph is the No. 2, rookie Drew Allar sits at No. 3 and Will Howard is fourth, with the Steelers expected to keep all four quarterbacks on the initial 53-man roster rather than trading Howard.
- David HarrisonRoster Spot Calls · Tim SettleHit · 100Harrison gives his initial 53-man roster projection for the Washington Commanders: three quarterbacks including Ethan Kalyak Manus, three running backs, four tight ends, six receivers (leaving off De'Ami Brown and Jaden Bradley), nine offensive linemen with Matt Goldman at center, and a defense of six linebackers but only four cornerbacks. He also projects Tunstall and Newton going to IR on Monday with De'Ami Brown and Dietrich Wise re-signed, plus a corner-heavy practice squad.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Ar'maj Reed-AdamsMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Rocco UnderwoodMiss · 0Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Huber forecasts the Packers starting 3-4 through seven games — losing at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, beating the Jets and Falcons, losing to the Bears — and finishing the season with about eight wins.
- Jared DubinGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.