Colin Cowherd · Oct 17, 2025

Cowherd's "Blazing Five" NFL picks plus a college pick and additional games: Browns, Broncos, Cowboys-Commanders over, Packers, Lions, Notre Dame, plus Bears and 49ers picks.

“I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

9 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Award PicksOct 17, 2025
“I would vote him today... he would be MVP and then Mahomes would be runner up.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Baker Mayfield
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsOct 17, 2025
“I'm going to take green Bay to win close. Seven points is too many. Twenty eight to twenty four.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 45.3+91.34 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-23
skill:
91.34
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
45.3
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
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Score PredictionsOct 17, 2025
“Bucks Lions win it. Lions cover twenty eight to twenty one.”
Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 69.11+19.77 skill
How this was scored
score:
9-24
skill:
19.77
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
69.11
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
15
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsOct 17, 2025
“I'm gonna take Denver to win twenty eight to twenty. Cover the spread.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 97.55-23.75 skill
How this was scored
score:
32-33
skill:
-23.75
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
97.55
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
1
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsOct 17, 2025
“I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.”
Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 50+11.93 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-31
skill:
11.93
they picked:
CLE
season:
2025
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
25
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksOct 17, 2025
“if San Francisco can bring it back a couple of weapons, I like San Francisco.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
10-20
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsOct 17, 2025
“So I do like the Bears to win again... I think it's fairly close. It's you know, twenty eight to twenty four. But I like Chicago to go to fourn Jew on the season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Game Outcome PicksOct 17, 2025
“I think Notre Dame wins by ten”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Score PredictionsOct 17, 2025
“I'm taking the over. Commanders win. That's not my play. Thirty twenty seven.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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