Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Colin Cowherd· Oct 17, 2025

Cowherd's "Blazing Five" NFL picks plus a college pick and additional games: Browns, Broncos, Cowboys-Commanders over, Packers, Lions, Notre Dame, plus Bears and 49ers picks.

“I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

7 checkable claims — 5 score predictions, 1 award pick and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 60.9 out of 100, against 59.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Score PredictionsWashington CommandersOct 17, 2025

    Washington Commanders 30 — Cowboys 27

    “I'm taking the over. Commanders win. That's not my play. Thirty twenty seven.”

    Miss · 5Scored 4.76a naive guess scored 52.45-79.64 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-44
    skill:
    -79.64
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    4.76
    baseline:
    52.45
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksBaker MayfieldTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 17, 2025

    Baker Mayfield to win MVP

    “I would vote him today... he would be MVP and then Mahomes would be runner up.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Baker Mayfield
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 17, 2025

    Green Bay Packers 28 — Arizona 24

    “I'm going to take green Bay to win close. Seven points is too many. Twenty eight to twenty four.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 45.3+91.34 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    91.34
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    45.3
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 17, 2025

    Detroit Lions 28 — Buccaneers 21

    “Bucks Lions win it. Lions cover twenty eight to twenty one.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 69.11+19.77 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    19.77
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    69.11
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    7

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsDenver BroncosOct 17, 2025

    Denver Broncos 28 — Giants 20

    “I'm gonna take Denver to win twenty eight to twenty. Cover the spread.”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 97.55-23.75 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    32-33
    skill:
    -23.75
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    97.55
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsOct 17, 2025

    Cleveland Browns 24 — Dolphins 17

    “I trust Cleveland's defense to carry the day, maybe get a turnover in points twenty four to seventeen. Browns win and cover.”

    Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 50+11.93 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-31
    skill:
    11.93
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    57.14
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    7

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 17, 2025

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta

    “if San Francisco can bring it back a couple of weapons, I like San Francisco.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    10-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.