Cowherd delivered his Blazing Five picks: Bears over Packers 27-23, Giants upset Vikings 28-27, Bengals over Dolphins 30-20, Patriots outright over Ravens 28-27, and 49ers over Colts 34-24. He also picked Oklahoma to win its college playoff game and said he'd give the MVP to Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersDec 19, 2025

  “I like the Niners to win and cover thirty four to twenty four”

  Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 4.83+80.71 skill
  How this was scored

  score:

  48-27

  skill:

  80.71

  they picked:

  SF

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  73.81

  baseline:

  4.83

  difficulty:

  1.17

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual margin:

  21

  weeks left when called:

  3

  naive home margin:

  2.03

  predicted margin:

  10

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsDec 19, 2025

  “I think the Patriots went outright twenty eight twenty seven.”

  Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 45.3+55.64 skill
  How this was scored

  score:

  28-24

  skill:

  55.64

  they picked:

  NE

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  92.86

  baseline:

  45.3

  difficulty:

  1.17

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual margin:

  4

  weeks left when called:

  3

  naive home margin:

  2.03

  predicted margin:

  1

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsDec 19, 2025

  “I'm going to take Burrow in Cincinnati to win thirty to twenty in cover”

  Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 0+78 skill
  How this was scored

  score:

  45-21

  skill:

  78

  they picked:

  CIN

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  66.67

  baseline:

  0

  difficulty:

  1.17

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual margin:

  24

  weeks left when called:

  3

  naive home margin:

  2.03

  predicted margin:

  10

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsNew York GiantsDec 19, 2025

  “I'll take the points. Giants win twenty eight twenty seven.”

  Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 47.69-2.86 skill
  How this was scored

  score:

  16-13

  skill:

  -2.86

  they picked:

  NYG

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  45.24

  baseline:

  47.69

  difficulty:

  1.17

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual margin:

  3

  weeks left when called:

  3

  naive home margin:

  2.03

  predicted margin:

  1

  Think this is wrong?

• Award PicksJosh AllenBuffalo BillsDec 19, 2025

  “I would give Josh Allen the MVP over Stafford”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  award:

  mvp

  naive:

  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before

  skill:

  0

  player:

  Josh Allen

  season:

  2025

  winner:

  Matthew Stafford

  correct:

  false

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  difficulty:

  1.17

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  3

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsChicago BearsDec 19, 2025

  “I like the Bears at home minus one and a half... I like the Bears to win and cover twenty seven to twenty three.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?