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Colin Cowherd· Dec 19, 2025

Cowherd delivered his Blazing Five picks: Bears over Packers 27-23, Giants upset Vikings 28-27, Bengals over Dolphins 30-20, Patriots outright over Ravens 28-27, and 49ers over Colts 34-24. He also picked Oklahoma to win its college playoff game and said he'd give the MVP to Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford.

“I like the Bears to win and cover twenty seven to twenty three.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 5 score predictions and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 62.3 out of 100, against 31.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Chicago Bears 27 — Packers 23

    “I like the Bears at home minus one and a half... I like the Bears to win and cover twenty seven to twenty three.”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 90.54+5.49 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    16-22
    skill:
    5.49
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    90.54
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    3
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

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  • San Francisco 49ers 34 — Colts 24

    “I like the Niners to win and cover thirty four to twenty four”

    Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 4.83+80.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    48-27
    skill:
    80.71
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    4.83
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    3
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots 28 — Ravens 27

    “I think the Patriots went outright twenty eight twenty seven.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 45.3+55.64 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    28-24
    skill:
    55.64
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    45.3
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    3
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals 30 — Miami 20

    “I'm going to take Burrow in Cincinnati to win thirty to twenty in cover”

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 0+78 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-21
    skill:
    78
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    3
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • New York Giants 28 — Vikings 27

    “I'll take the points. Giants win twenty eight twenty seven.”

    Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 47.69-2.86 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    16-13
    skill:
    -2.86
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    3
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Josh Allen to win MVP

    “I would give Josh Allen the MVP over Stafford”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Josh Allen
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

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