Chris Brockman· Nov 25, 2024
Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.
“Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon is gonna be the first non QB MVP since 2011.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
12 checkable claims — 8 playoff picks, 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 81.8 out of 100, against 63.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
wins5–6 wins (5–6 wins)They said
5What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
12 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsCarolina PanthersNov 25, 2024
Carolina Panthers to finish with 5–6 wins
“I thought they could win a few games, get maybe to five or six wins.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+6.95 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- naive:
- 5.25
- skill:
- 6.95
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 5–6 wins (5–6 wins)
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 25, 2024
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosNov 25, 2024
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- skill:
- 139
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Award PicksSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia EaglesNov 25, 2024
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
“Saquon is gonna be the first non QB MVP since 2011”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensNov 25, 2024
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“Raven's check.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 25, 2024
Buffalo Bills to beat forty niners
“They are going to get blasted by Buffalo next week... And they're gonna be five and seven”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 10-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksHouston TexansNov 25, 2024
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- HOU
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsNov 25, 2024
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksDallas CowboysNov 25, 2024
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
“The Cowboys are making the playoffs, and the Commanders are missing them.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 25, 2024
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksLos Angeles ChargersNov 25, 2024
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 139
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Power RankingsNov 25, 2024
“Eagles are the best team in the NFL”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Thomas MartinezRoster Spot Calls · Patrick HerbertMiss · 0Martinez projects the Chargers' starting lineups on offense and defense for their Week 3 game at Buffalo, with injuries forcing several changes — Oronde Gadsden II at tight end, Trevor Penning at left guard, Jamaree Caldwell at defensive tackle and RJ Mickens at safety — while expecting Ladd McConkey to play and Marquez Valdez-Scantling to debut.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Reddy StewardMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player he expects Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. He also predicts Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Te'Cory CouchMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
- Joe MarinoRoster Spot Calls · Te'Cory CouchMiss · 0Joe Marino gives his final projection of the Buffalo Bills' initial 53-man roster after the preseason finale, naming who makes it, who gets cut, and who lands on injured reserve/PUP, along with several starting-job calls (Kyle Allen as QB2, TJ Sanders starting over Landon Jackson, Maxwell Hairston starting opposite Christian Benford, and Tommy Doman winning the punting job).
- Chad JensenRoster Spot Calls · Jonah ColemanMiss · 0Jensen expects the Broncos to sign fullback Adam Prentice to the active 53-man roster early the following week rather than risk losing him on waivers, with a corresponding cut coming Monday. He also anticipates Denver will clear a roster spot for Jonah Coleman once the running back's four-game IR stint ends around Week 7.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Elijah SarrattHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayoff Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Minnesota VikingsMiss · 0Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.
- Dwaine BoardPlayoff Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Board argues the 49ers can still make the playoffs even if Trent Williams leaves, expects Williams to be brought back, and favors drafting a wide receiver at No. 27 over an offensive tackle.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. He also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Eisen agreed the NFC West will send three teams to the playoffs (Seahawks, 49ers and Rams), endorsed the Bears finishing no worse than the No. 2 seed, and said Chicago would beat Green Bay at home.