Rich Eisen · Dec 22, 2025
Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.
“But the Packers are just not missing the playoffs.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
“And Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top five quarterback. He is elusive.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 0+107.25 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 107.25
- player:
- Trevor Lawrence
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 29
- actual finish:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- predicted finish:
- 5
- Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersDec 22, 2025
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“I I don't think they're gonna lose to the Ravens at home. I think the Ravens are gonna be out, and I think the Packers make the playoffs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersDec 22, 2025
Green Bay Packers to win
“They've got the Ravens in their house next... I I don't think they're gonna lose to the Ravens at home.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 41-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersDec 22, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“But all that said, you know, the Steelers should make the playoffs. They should, if they do, host a playoff game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Conference ChampionsChicago BearsDec 22, 2025
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
“So I I can't push back on this that they're a team of destiny and they're winning the NFC.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.